Match Analysis: Purdue Boilermakers vs Akron Zips – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-17
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Mackey Arena, West Lafayette, Indiana
Game Overview
The No. 2 Purdue Boilermakers host the undefeated Akron Zips in an NCAA basketball matchup. Both teams enter with 3-0 records. Purdue is a heavy favorite with strong home performance and slightly slower pace, while Akron is a sturdy underdog with solid recent form and motivation to keep the game competitive.
Key Factors to Consider
- Purdue boasts a 3-0 start including a road win over a top-10 opponent and a strong 81.5% moneyline win rate when favored last season. Akron is also 3-0, showing consistency but lacks the elite-level wins Purdue has. Purdue controls pace and rebounds better but Akron's experience and senior leadership are important.
- Historically Purdue dominates and is heavily favored by around 20 points. No recent close matchups reported, suggesting a strong Purdue advantage. Combined scoring average last season between them is just above 160 points.
- No reported injuries for either team affecting key players. Both teams appear at full strength.
- Purdue's home venue Mackey Arena offers a strong home-court advantage with supportive crowd. Akron's travel to Indiana may add slight fatigue but they showed stamina in prior road games.
- Purdue aims to maintain unbeaten record and Top 2 national ranking, critical for national title aspirations. Akron seeks respect and to prove competitiveness against elite competition; motivated to keep spread close.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Purdue: -4000, Akron: +1400 | Purdue | β β β β β 93% |
| Spread | Purdue -19.5: -110, Akron +19.5: -110 | Akron +19.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 160.5: -110, Under 160.5: -110 | Under 160.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Purdue Boilermakers -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 160.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 160.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Purdue to win straight-up on the moneyline, Akron to cover the spread, and the total points to go under 160.5
Predicted Score: Purdue 80 – Akron 63