Match Analysis: Providence Friars vs New Hampshire Wildcats – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-19
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Amica Mutual Pavilion, Providence, RI
Game Overview
The Providence Friars host the New Hampshire Wildcats in a non-conference matchup. Providence enters as heavy favorites, with the Wildcats facing a significant challenge against a higher-level Big East opponent. The game is scheduled for Tuesday, November 18, 2025, at 7:00 PM ET, and will be broadcast on ESPN+.
Key Factors to Consider
- Providence boasts a strong offensive profile, averaging 98.7 points per game and shooting 49.3% from the field (88th in D-1). Their defense allows 91.0 points per game, but their efficiency metrics (1.150 offensive efficiency, 55.0% effective FG%) are far superior to New Hampshireβs (0.749 offensive efficiency, 40.2% effective FG%). New Hampshire struggles offensively, averaging only 52.3 points per game and shooting 32.2% from three. Their defense is porous, allowing 78.3 points per game and 56.7% two-point shooting. Providenceβs rebounding (44.7 per game) and free throw proficiency (84.0%) further widen the gap.
- There is no recent head-to-head history between these two programs, making this matchup a fresh challenge for both teams. Historically, Providence has dominated non-conference games against lower-division or mid-major opponents, especially at home.
- No injuries have been reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- Providence is playing at home, which typically provides a boost in performance and crowd support. The Wildcats are on the road, facing a hostile environment and a much stronger opponent. The game is part of a non-conference schedule, so neither team is under pressure for conference standings.
- Providence will be motivated to build momentum early in the season and showcase their talent against a lower-tier opponent. New Hampshire will look to compete and avoid a blowout, but their motivation is more about development than winning.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | New Hampshire Wildcats: 3000, Providence Friars: -10000 | Providence Friars | β β β β β 99% |
| Spread | New Hampshire Wildcats: 26.5 -112, Providence Friars: -26.5 -108 | Providence Friars -26.5 | β β β β β 95% |
| Over/under | over: 160.5 -110, under: 160.5 -110 | Over 160.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Providence Friars 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 160.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 160.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Providence is expected to dominate this game, leveraging their superior offensive efficiency, rebounding, and free throw shooting. New Hampshireβs offensive struggles and defensive weaknesses make it unlikely they can keep pace. The game is projected to be a comfortable win for Providence, with a significant margin.
Predicted Score: Providence Friars 94, New Hampshire Wildcats 67