Match Analysis: Portland Pilots vs UC Davis Aggies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Chiles Center, Portland, Oregon
Game Overview
The Portland Pilots (2-0) host the UC Davis Aggies (2-0) in an early non-conference NCAA basketball matchup. Both teams have started the season undefeated, but Portland holds a slight statistical and home-court advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Portland demonstrates superior offensive efficiency, averaging 101.5 PPG with a high FG% (51.2%) and a strong +23 scoring margin. UC Davis scores fewer points (88) and has a weaker offensive rank (318th). Portland also dominates in rebounds (45.5 RPG vs. 34.0) and assists, indicating strong team play and control.
- Recent history shows Portland edged UC Davis 65-60 in their last meeting, demonstrating a competitive but favorable edge for Portland. Both teams are 2-0 this season with Portland winning their latest home game convincingly.
- No significant injury reports available for either team, suggesting full strength squads.
- Portland enjoys home-court advantage at the Chiles Center and a supportive local crowd. Both teams are early in the season with no back-to-back fatigue or travel concerns impacting them notably.
- Portland seeks to continue their 3-0 home start and maintain momentum. UC Davis aims to prove themselves on the road after strong home victories.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -118, away: -102 | Portland Pilots | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | home: -102, away: -120 | Portland Pilots -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | over: -110, under: -110 | Over 152.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Portland Pilots 7% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 152.5 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Portland Pilots at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Portland Pilots win; Spread: Portland Pilots -1.5; Over/Under: Over 152.5 points
Predicted Score: Portland Pilots 78 – 70 UC Davis Aggies