Match Analysis: Pittsburgh Panthers vs Longwood Lancers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Petersen Events Center
Game Overview
Pittsburgh Panthers host Longwood Lancers in an early season NCAAB matchup. Pittsburgh is favored by bookmakers, with the spread set at -17.5 and the total at 148.5. Both teams enter the game 1-0, but Pittsburghβs home-court advantage and stronger defensive profile make them the clear favorite.
Key Factors to Consider
- Pittsburgh won their opener 74-59, showing solid defense and efficient offense. Longwood dominated Mary Baldwin 92-55, but their competition was much weaker. Pittsburghβs defense allowed just 59 points, while Longwoodβs defense was tested against a Division III opponent.
- No recent H2H data available, but Pittsburghβs roster and program strength suggest a clear edge in talent and experience.
- No injuries reported for either team.
- Pittsburgh plays at home, where they are historically strong. The game is on a Friday night, with no major weather or travel disruptions expected.
- Both teams are motivated to start the season strong, but Pittsburgh has more to prove as a Power 5 program facing a mid-major opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -1400 | Pittsburgh Panthers | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | -17.5 -105 | Pittsburgh Panthers -17.5 | β β β β β 78% |
| Over/under | o148.5 -110 | Over 148.5 | β β β β β 74% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home -9% |
| Spread | Pittsburgh Panthers -17.5 52% |
| Over/Under | Over 148.5 41% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Pittsburgh Panthers -17.5 at 52% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Pittsburgh Panthers to win by 18+ points and the game to go over 148.5 points.
Predicted Score: Pittsburgh 82, Longwood 68