Match Analysis: Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-24
- Time: 1:10 AM UTC
- Location: Mortgage Matchup Center (formerly PHX Arena), Phoenix, AZ
Game Overview
The Phoenix Suns will host the San Antonio Spurs in an NBA Western Conference matchup. The Suns hold a 10-6 record with a strong 7-2 home performance, while the Spurs boast an 11-4 record and are currently on a 3-game winning streak. Both teams have shown resilience, but Phoenix benefits from home court advantage in this late November contest.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Spurs have been strong recently, winning 10 of their last 15 games and currently on a 3-game winning streak, including wins as underdogs on the road. The Suns have a 7-2 home record and have covered the spread in 8 of their last 10 games, though they have struggled in night games against tough Southwest Division opponents and have injury concerns.
- Phoenix defeated San Antonio by 12 points three weeks ago as 5-point underdogs. Historically, the Suns have struggled against strong Southwest Division teams in night games, while the Spurs have covered spreads consistently in recent road games against rested opponents.
- Both teams have injury concerns, but specific key players sidelined are not detailed in available data. Injuries may affect rotations and performance consistency.
- The game is at Phoenix's home arena, which they have been defending well this season. The Spurs face a schedule with back-to-back plays that may impact their energy. Oddsmakers have adjusted spreads accordingly, reflecting market awareness of these conditions.
- The Spurs look to continue their winning streak and build momentum, while the Suns aim to defend home court and gain ground in the Western Conference standings after recent losses to strong division rivals.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Phoenix Suns: -144, San Antonio Spurs: 122 | Phoenix Suns win | β β β ββ 68% |
| Spread | Phoenix Suns: -3 -110, San Antonio Spurs: +3 -110 | Phoenix Suns cover -3 spread | β β β ββ 62% |
| Over/under | Over: 234.5 -110, Under: 234.5 -110 | Over 234.5 points | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Phoenix Suns 2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 234.5 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 234.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Phoenix Suns are favored to win narrowly, leveraging home advantage and recent performance despite the Spurs' strong form and underdog resilience.
Predicted Score: Phoenix Suns 118 – San Antonio Spurs 112