Match Analysis: Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-12
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Xfinity Mobile Arena
Game Overview
The Philadelphia 76ers host the Boston Celtics in a tightly contested Atlantic Division matchup. The Sixers hold a slight edge in record (6-4 vs. 5-6) and have a potent offense led by Tyrese Maxey, while the Celtics rely on strong defense and balanced scoring. Recent meetings have been very close, indicating a competitive game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Philadelphia 76ers have a better record and stronger recent form (6-4), including an 8-1-1 ATS record showing strong performance against the spread. Boston Celtics are 5-6 and struggle slightly more on the road with fewer wins, though they have a resilient defense allowing only 110.4 PPG. Pace of play favors the Celtics' slower tempo, potentially lowering scoring.
- This season's matchups have been extremely close: 76ers won 117-116 on 10/22, Celtics won narrowly 109-108 on 10/31. Historically, Boston has won 7 of the last 10 meetings, showing a slight edge in the rivalry.
- No major injury information available indicating key players missing. Jayson Tatum's absence noted previously but Celtics remain competitive.
- Game played at Philadelphia's Xfinity Mobile Arena, giving Sixers home-court advantage. Broadcast on NBC, ensuring strong exposure but no impact on gameplay. Both teams motivated to improve standing early in season.
- Both teams are competitive and closely ranked in the Eastern Conference. The 76ers aim to capitalize on home advantage and recent form to climb standings. Celtics seek to rebound after modest start and maintain competitive edge in the division.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -130, away: 110 | Philadelphia 76ers | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | home: -115, away: -105 | Philadelphia 76ers -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | over: -108, under: -112 | Under 232.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Philadelphia 76ers 8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 232.5 10% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 232.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Philadelphia 76ers moneyline
Predicted Score: Philadelphia 116 – Boston 109