Match Analysis: Penn State Nittany Lions vs Harvard Crimson – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 19, 2025
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Bryce Jordan Center, University Park, Pennsylvania
Game Overview
Penn State Nittany Lions (4-0) host Harvard Crimson (4-1) in an NCAA Men's Basketball matchup. Penn State enters as heavy favorites, riding a three-game home winning streak with an undefeated record. Harvard comes in as the visiting team with one loss but maintains a strong 4-1 record. This represents a significant talent gap as Penn State is favored by 12.5 points, reflecting their dominance and home-court advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Penn State maintains a perfect 4-0 record with strong home performance (2-0 at home). Harvard is 4-1 overall with a 2-0 away record, indicating competitive travel performance. However, Penn State's undefeated status and home winning streak suggest superior form heading into this contest.
- No significant historical head-to-head data available from the search results. This appears to be a non-conference matchup that may not have extensive recent history between these programs.
- No injury information is available in the provided data. Team roster health status would require additional research to assess impact on performance.
- The game is part of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame Showcase tournament schedule. Penn State's home-court advantage at Bryce Jordan Center is a significant factor. Broadcast on B1G+ provides standard media coverage.
- Penn State is motivated to maintain their undefeated status and home winning streak. Harvard seeks to prove competitiveness on the road against a major conference opponent. Penn State's higher seed status and tournament context may provide additional motivation.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Penn State -1000 / Harvard +640 | Penn State Nittany Lions Win | β β β β β 91% |
| Spread | -12.5 (-110 both sides) | Penn State -12.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | 142.5 (-110 both sides) | Under 142.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Penn State Nittany Lions 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 142.5 -1% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Penn State Nittany Lions at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Penn State Nittany Lions are predicted to win decisively. The combination of home-court advantage, undefeated record, and 12.5-point spread advantage strongly favors the Nittany Lions. Harvard's away record (2-0) is respectable, but facing a perfect Penn State team represents a significant challenge. Penn State's moneyline odds of -1000 reflect market confidence in their victory.
Predicted Score: Penn State 78, Harvard 65 (Penn State wins by 13 points)