Match Analysis: Penn State Nittany Lions vs Boston Univ. Terriers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-26
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Bryce Jordan Center, State College, PA
Game Overview
Penn State Nittany Lions host Boston University Terriers in a non-conference NCAA Men's Basketball matchup. Penn State enters the game with a strong 5-1 record and a 3-0 home record, while Boston University is 3-3 and on a season-high four-game road trip. The game is televised on NBCSN and Peacock, with both teams seeking momentum early in the season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Penn State has shown strong home dominance, winning all three home games and averaging 90.8 points per game. Boston University has struggled on the road, with a 1-2 away record, and has shown inconsistency, including a recent overtime win and a blowout loss. Penn State's offense is efficient, while Boston University's defense has allowed 70+ points in four of six games.
- This is the first meeting between the teams in 42 seasons. Boston University leads the all-time series 2-1, with the last matchup in 1983-84. The historical edge is minimal due to the long gap and roster changes.
- No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both squads are expected to field their full starting lineups.
- Penn State enjoys a significant home-court advantage at the Bryce Jordan Center, which is known for its loud and supportive crowd. Boston University is on a challenging road trip, having played three away games in the past two weeks.
- Penn State is motivated to maintain its undefeated home record and build momentum for a strong season. Boston University is seeking its first win against a Big Ten opponent since 2024 and aims to prove itself against higher-level competition.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Boston Univ. Terriers: 810, Penn State Nittany Lions: -1450 | Penn State Nittany Lions | β β β β β 92% |
| Spread | Boston Univ. Terriers: 13.5 -102, Penn State Nittany Lions: -13.5 -120 | Penn State Nittany Lions -13.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | Over: 143.5 -115, Under: 143.5 -105 | Over 143.5 | β β β β β 78% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Penn State Nittany Lions -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 143.5 46% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 143.5 at 46% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 52.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Penn State is heavily favored due to superior home performance, offensive efficiency, and Boston University's road struggles. The Nittany Lions are expected to control the pace and dominate in the paint, while Boston University may struggle to keep up offensively. The spread and over/under lines reflect Penn State's dominance and the likelihood of a high-scoring game.
Predicted Score: Penn State 84, Boston University 60