Match Analysis: Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano vs Valencia Basket – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-23
- Time: 6:30 PM UTC
- Location: Mediolanum Forum, Milan, Italy
Game Overview
EuroLeague basketball match between Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (home) and Valencia Basket (away), both teams with recent mixed form and close standings in the league table.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both teams have a 2-3 record in their last 5 matches, with Milano slightly ahead in recent wins (3-2) and showing more consistency at home.
- Milano leads recent head-to-head meetings 4-2 over Valencia, including a strong 83-52 home win in November 2023. Valencia won the most recent meeting 84-72 in January 2024.
- No significant reported injuries affecting key starters on either side.
- Milano enjoys home court advantage in a large arena with strong fan support; no travel fatigue or other disruptions noted.
- Both teams are motivated to improve standings early in the season, with Milano slightly more motivated given a recent single-game winning streak and home crowd expectations.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -174 / +142 | Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | -3.5 -114 (Milano), +3.5 -108 (Valencia) | Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano -3.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | 171.5 -110 (both sides) | Over 171.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano -4% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 171.5 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 171.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano to win straight-up, cover the -3.5 spread, and for the total points to go over 171.5.
Predicted Score: Olimpia Milano 89 – Valencia Basket 80