Match Analysis: Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano vs AS Monaco – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-09
- Time: 6:30 PM UTC
- Location: Unipol Forum, Milan
Game Overview
This EuroLeague matchup features a tight contest between Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano and AS Monaco, two closely matched teams with competitive recent history in the league.
Key Factors to Consider
- AS Monaco currently shows slightly better offensive output with 93.5 PPG versus Milano's 85.0 PPG. However, Milano's defense and home advantage are significant, as evidenced by recent narrow wins over Monaco.
- In their last 5 encounters, Monaco leads narrowly 3-2, with recent games often low-scoring and closely contested (e.g., 86-80, 93-80). Milano took the last home win, indicating home court is a key factor.
- No critical injury reports available; both teams appear near full strength, allowing for typical rotations and game plans.
- The game takes place at Milan's Unipol Forum with a strong crowd presence (~9,000 attendance), favoring the home side. Travel for Monaco could influence their stamina slightly, but both teams are experienced travelers.
- As an early-season game, both teams are motivated to establish positioning in the EuroLeague standings, but Milano may have slightly higher motivation playing at home and avenging earlier losses.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -125 | AS Monaco | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | -112 | AS Monaco -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | over: -108, under: -112 | Under 167 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | AS Monaco -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 167 4% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 167 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
AS Monaco on the moneyline; spread in favor of AS Monaco -1.5; total points under 167
Predicted Score: AS Monaco 83 – Olimpia Milano 79