Match Analysis: Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano vs AS Monaco – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-09
- Time: 6:30 PM UTC
- Location: Unipol Forum, Milan
Game Overview
This EuroLeague matchup features a tight contest between Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano and AS Monaco, two closely matched teams with competitive recent history in the league.
Key Factors to Consider
- AS Monaco currently shows slightly better offensive output with 93.5 PPG versus Milano's 85.0 PPG. However, Milano's defense and home advantage are significant, as evidenced by recent narrow wins over Monaco.
- In their last 5 encounters, Monaco leads narrowly 3-2, with recent games often low-scoring and closely contested (e.g., 86-80, 93-80). Milano took the last home win, indicating home court is a key factor.
- No critical injury reports available; both teams appear near full strength, allowing for typical rotations and game plans.
- The game takes place at Milan's Unipol Forum with a strong crowd presence (~9,000 attendance), favoring the home side. Travel for Monaco could influence their stamina slightly, but both teams are experienced travelers.
- As an early-season game, both teams are motivated to establish positioning in the EuroLeague standings, but Milano may have slightly higher motivation playing at home and avenging earlier losses.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -125 | AS Monaco | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | -112 | AS Monaco -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | over: -108, under: -112 | Under 167 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | AS Monaco -5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 167 4% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 167 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
AS Monaco on the moneyline; spread in favor of AS Monaco -1.5; total points under 167
Predicted Score: AS Monaco 83 – Olimpia Milano 79