Match Analysis: Oregon St Beavers vs UIC Flames – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 3:00 AM UTC
- Location: Gill Coliseum, Corvallis, OR
Game Overview
The Oregon State Beavers (1-0) face the UIC Flames (1-0) in an early non-conference NCAA basketball matchup. Both teams enter undefeated with narrow prior wins: Oregon State edged North Dakota State 67-65, while UIC decisively defeated Detroit Mercy 91-71. The game is at Oregon State's home court, giving the Beavers a slight edge.
Key Factors to Consider
- Oregon State boasts a stout defense allowing only 31.2% shooting from opponents and has home court advantage. UIC showed strong offensive efficiency shooting 44.6% overall and 42.3% from three-point range, coupled with excellent free-throw accuracy (83.3%). Both started strong, but Oregon State's tighter defensive metrics suggest a slower-paced, lower-scoring game.
- Recent H2H matchups are sparse with no recent direct data beyond historical meetings over a decade ago, which trended toward Oregon State struggles on the road. Current form and home advantage favor Oregon State.
- No critical injury reports available for either team before matchup, suggesting full-strength lineups.
- Gill Coliseum's home crowd is a known factor supporting Oregon State. No travel fatigue concerns for UIC other than typical road game challenges. Both teams are motivated to establish early-season momentum.
- Both teams are 1-0 and eager to assert dominance early. Oregon Stateβs motivation is amplified by home-court presence and defensive identity, while UIC aims to prove their offensive firepower can overcome a top defensive squad.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -188, away: 155 | Oregon State Beavers | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | home: -3.5 -110, away: +3.5 -110 | Oregon State Beavers -3.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | over: 149.5 -110, under: 149.5 -110 | Under 149.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Oregon St Beavers 73% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 149.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Oregon St Beavers at 73% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 47.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Oregon State Beavers moneyline and spread with the game total under 149.5 points
Predicted Score: Oregon State Beavers 71 – UIC Flames 67