Match Analysis: Oregon St Beavers vs North Texas Mean Green – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-13
- Time: 2:30 AM UTC
- Location: Gill Coliseum, Corvallis, OR
Game Overview
The Oregon State Beavers (2-0) host the North Texas Mean Green (3-0) at Gill Coliseum. Oregon State is coming off two wins featuring balanced offense and solid defense, averaging 71.5 points and 35.5 rebounds per game. North Texas arrives undefeated with strong defensive stats, forcing nearly 19 turnovers per game and holding opponents to 56.3 points on 34% shooting. Both teams show good free throw shooting, with North Texas at 81.5% and Oregon State at 76.5%, and decent perimeter shooting. This game is a closely matched contest with Oregon State favored slightly at home.
Key Factors to Consider
- Oregon State averages 71.5 points per game on 45.8% shooting and grabs 35.5 rebounds while turning over the ball 16.5 times per contest. They commit 15.5 fouls per game. North Texas scores about 78 points per game on 48.5% field goals but only 35.8% in the last noted game, with strong defense forcing 18.7 turnovers and limiting opponents to 56.3 points on 34% shooting.
- Limited recent head-to-head data available; however, Oregon State's home advantage at Gill Coliseum and current undefeated records for both teams set the stage for a competitive matchup with no clear historical domination.
- No significant injuries reported for either Oregon State or North Texas, indicating both teams will likely field their top players.
- The game being played at home in Corvallis gives Oregon State a slight environmental advantage. ESPN+ broadcast coverage may influence viewership but no direct impact on gameplay.
- North Texas aims to maintain an undefeated streak and prove dominance at a challenging away venue. Oregon State looks to sustain their unbeaten run while leveraging home court advantage and fan support.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | North Texas Mean Green: +128, Oregon State Beavers: -154 | Oregon State Beavers | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | North Texas Mean Green: +2.5 -110, Oregon State Beavers: -2.5 -110 | Oregon State Beavers to cover -2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 136.5 -110, Under: 136.5 -110 | Under 136.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Oregon St Beavers 35% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 136.5 5% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Oregon St Beavers at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Oregon State is predicted to narrowly win due to home court advantage and balanced team performance. North Texas's strong defense will keep the game close, but Oregon State's offensive efficiency and free throw accuracy should provide the margin.
Predicted Score: Oregon State Beavers 74 – North Texas Mean Green 69
