Match Analysis: Oregon Ducks vs South Dakota St Jackrabbits – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-13
- Time: 2:30 AM UTC
- Location: Matthew Knight Arena, Eugene
Game Overview
The Oregon Ducks host the South Dakota State Jackrabbits in a non-conference NCAAB matchup. Oregon enters the game as heavy favorites, boasting a 2-0 record and strong home form, while South Dakota State is 2-1 after a recent road loss. The Ducks are expected to dominate, with the betting market reflecting a significant gap in perceived strength.
Key Factors to Consider
- Oregon has started the season 2-0, winning both games by narrow margins (67-63 vs Rice, 60-59 vs Hawaii). Their defense has held opponents under 64 points in both outings, and they have yet to go over the total in either game. South Dakota State is 2-1, but their only loss came on the road against Northern Iowa (65-58), indicating some vulnerability away from home. The Jackrabbits have shown scoring ability but struggled defensively in their loss.
- No recent head-to-head matchups are available between these two teams. This is a rare meeting, so historical trends do not provide a clear edge.
- No major injuries have been reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both squads appear to be at full strength for this contest.
- The game is being played at Oregon's home venue, Matthew Knight Arena, which typically provides a strong home-court advantage. The Ducks have won both home games this season, while South Dakota State has only one away game under their belt (a loss).
- Oregon is motivated to maintain their undefeated record and build momentum early in the season. South Dakota State will look to upset a ranked opponent and prove their competitiveness against Power 5 teams.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Oregon Ducks: -2500, South Dakota St Jackrabbits: 1100 | Oregon Ducks | β β β β β 95% |
| Spread | Oregon Ducks: -15.5 -120, South Dakota St Jackrabbits: 15.5 -102 | Oregon Ducks -15.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 142.5 -110, Under: 142.5 -110 | Under 142.5 | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Oregon Ducks 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 142.5 0% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Oregon Ducks at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Oregon is heavily favored to win this game and cover the spread. The Ducks' defense has been solid, and South Dakota State has struggled on the road. The total is likely to stay under, given Oregon's recent low-scoring games and South Dakota State's defensive lapses in their loss.
Predicted Score: Oregon 73, South Dakota State 56