Match Analysis: Oregon Ducks vs South Dakota St Jackrabbits – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-13
- Time: 2:30 AM UTC
- Location: Matthew Knight Arena, Eugene, OR
Game Overview
The Oregon Ducks host the South Dakota State Jackrabbits with Oregon heavily favored. The Ducks are undefeated (2-0) and expected to dominate against South Dakota State (2-1), who have struggled on the road. Oregonβs defense and home court advantage position them strongly for a sizable victory.
Key Factors to Consider
- Oregon is 2-0 with close but winning margins (67-63 vs. Rice, 60-59 vs. Hawai'i). South Dakota State is 2-1 but lost an away game recently and has a weaker offensive showing. Oregon's defense is notably stiff, limiting opponents to low scores.
- No recent direct matchups available, but Oregon has a clear advantage in team quality and conference level competition.
- No reported injuries affecting key players for either team, allowing both sides to field their strongest lineups.
- Oregon is playing at home in a large arena with strong home crowd support. South Dakota State must travel west, which may add to fatigue and impact performance.
- Oregon aims to continue building momentum as a potential top team early season, likely motivated to make a statement win. South Dakota State looks to upset but may lack the depth and talent to keep pace.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -2500 (Oregon), +1100 (South Dakota State) | Oregon Ducks | β β β β β 95% |
| Spread | -15.5 (-120) Oregon | Oregon Ducks -15.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | 142.5 -110 both sides | Under 142.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Oregon Ducks -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 142.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 142.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Oregon Ducks to win and cover the -15.5 spread; the game to go under 142.5 points.
Predicted Score: Oregon Ducks 78 – South Dakota State Jackrabbits 60