Match Analysis: Oregon Ducks vs San Diego St Aztecs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-26
- Time: 4:00 AM UTC
- Location: Michelob ULTRA Arena, Paradise, NV
Game Overview
The Oregon Ducks face the San Diego State Aztecs in a highly anticipated NCAA Men's Basketball matchup on November 26, 2025. Both teams enter the game with a 2-0 record, setting the stage for a competitive contest. The game will be played at a neutral site, the Michelob ULTRA Arena, which may slightly favor neither team but could impact crowd dynamics.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both Oregon and San Diego State have started the season strong, each with two wins. San Diego State's recent victories have been dominant, with wins over Idaho State (73-57) and Long Beach State (77-45), indicating solid defensive and offensive execution. Oregon's performance details are less available, but their undefeated start suggests they are also in good form.
- There is limited recent head-to-head data available for this matchup. Historical trends and direct comparisons are not strongly influencing the current odds, making recent form and team statistics more critical.
- No significant injuries have been reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both squads appear to be at full strength, which is crucial for a high-stakes early-season game.
- The game is being played at a neutral venue, which can sometimes lead to unpredictable crowd support and atmosphere. The Michelob ULTRA Arena is known for hosting high-profile events, potentially adding to the pressure and excitement.
- Both teams are motivated to maintain their undefeated records and build momentum for the rest of the season. The neutral site adds an extra layer of challenge, as neither team has a home-court advantage.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | San Diego State Aztecs: 2.05, Oregon Ducks: 1.75 | San Diego State Aztecs | Not available |
| Spread | Oregon Ducks: -1.5, San Diego St Aztecs: 1.5 | San Diego St Aztecs +1.5 | Not available |
| Over/under | Over: 144.5, Under: 144.5 | Under | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 144.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 144.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Based on the current form, recent performances, and the neutral venue, this game is expected to be closely contested. San Diego State's recent dominance in scoring and defense gives them a slight edge, but Oregon's undefeated start and strong team dynamics make them a formidable opponent. The game is likely to be decided by a small margin, with both teams capable of making key plays in crucial moments.
Predicted Score: San Diego State Aztecs 72, Oregon Ducks 70