Match Analysis: Olympiacos vs Paris Basketball – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-21
- Time: 7:15 PM UTC
- Location: Peace And Friendship Stadium
Game Overview
This Euroleague basketball encounter features Olympiacos hosting Paris Basketball at Peace And Friendship Stadium. Olympiacos currently stands 4th in the league with an average of 85.9 points per game, while Paris Basketball is 12th with 89.6 points per game. Both teams have split previous meetings 1-1, indicating a competitive but slightly favorable scenario for Olympiacos based on venue and form.
Key Factors to Consider
- Olympiacos holds a stronger defensive record and rebounding edge, with Nikola Milutinov as a key player averaging 22.1 PIR. Paris Basketball has slightly higher scoring but lower league standing, relying on Nadir Hifiβs offensive output. Both teams average similar assists and steals with slight advantages for Paris in scoring and Olympiacos in rebounds.
- The head-to-head record since 2000 shows a balanced rivalry with a 1-1 split in recent matchups. Olympiacos secured a narrow 90-86 win previously, while Paris took another with a 73-90 scoreline. The venue gives Olympiacos a home advantage in this matchup.
- No specific injury reports are available from the current data set for either team. Both squads appear to have their key players available for this game.
- Playing at Olympiacosβ home court, the Peace And Friendship Stadium, offers a typical Euroleague atmosphere favoring the home team. No travel or external disruption has been reported.
- Olympiacos is motivated to consolidate their strong early-season form and maintain a solid standing in the top 4 tier. Paris Basketball aims to upset and improve their mid-table position by exploiting offensive strengths.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Olympiacos: -395, Paris Basketball: 310 | Olympiacos Win | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | Olympiacos: -8.5 -110, Paris Basketball: +8.5 -110 | Olympiacos to cover the -8.5 spread | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 172.5 -110, Under: 172.5 -110 | Over 172.5 points | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Olympiacos -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 172.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 172.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Olympiacos is favored to win, leveraging home advantage, stronger defense, and rebounding, although Paris Basketballβs scoring threat keeps the contest close.
Predicted Score: Olympiacos 90 – 80 Paris Basketball