Match Analysis: Ole Miss Rebels vs UL Monroe Warhawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss, Oxford, MS
Game Overview
Ole Miss Rebels host UL Monroe Warhawks early in the season in a matchup with a heavy Ole Miss favorite. Ole Miss comes with a 1-0 record and dominant performance, whereas UL Monroe is 0-1, looking to rebound from a heavy loss.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ole Miss is off a decisive 88-58 home win, showing strong offense (77.2 PPG) and defense (allowing only 58 points). UL Monroe struggled defensively last game, losing 102-82 and scoring below their season average. Ole Miss ranks in the top 100 in efficiency, while UL Monroe ranks near the bottom nationally in offensive and defensive efficiency.
- Last meeting saw Ole Miss win 83-60 convincingly. Ole Miss has dominated recent matchups and holds a significant edge in scoring margin and home performance.
- No reported injuries or key player absences impacting either team.
- Game played at Ole Miss home court, providing a strong home-court advantage. Public betting heavily favors Ole Miss, with 71% of bets on Rebels.
- Ole Miss looks to maintain momentum and impress early in the season. UL Monroe is highly motivated but faces a tough road test after a lopsided opening loss.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -10000, away: 3300 | Ole Miss Rebels | β β β β β 95% |
| Spread | home: -115, away: -105 | Ole Miss Rebels -35.5 | β β β β β 90% |
| Over/under | over: -110, under: -110 | Under 152.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ole Miss Rebels -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 152.5 34% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 152.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ole Miss Rebels to win moneyline, cover the spread, and game total to go under 152.5 points.
Predicted Score: Ole Miss Rebels 85 – UL Monroe Warhawks 55