Match Analysis: Old Dominion Monarchs vs Norfolk St Spartans – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-12
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Chartway Arena, Norfolk, VA
Game Overview
Old Dominion Monarchs (1-1) host Norfolk State Spartans (2-1) in an early season NCAA basketball contest. The Monarchs have shown improved scoring, averaging 82.5 points in their two games compared to last season's 67.4 ppg. Norfolk State comes off a close 81-78 loss and has demonstrated solid three-point shooting but struggles at the charity stripe and defensive consistency.
Key Factors to Consider
- Old Dominion has been efficient offensively, hitting nearly 50% FG and dominating their last game with a 40-point win. Norfolk State shows competitive fire but lost their last game by 3 points, shooting 43.1% FG and just 54.8% FT. Old Dominionβs balanced scoring with KC Shaw and LJ Thomas, coupled with Jordan Battleβs rebounding, gives them an edge.
- Old Dominion won the most recent matchup 68-62, holding a 1-0 edge in recent meetings. Norfolk State has not won at Old Dominion recently, indicating home advantage and tactical superiority for the Monarchs.
- No significant injury reports for either team at this time, suggesting both squads are near full strength.
- Game played at Old Dominionβs home arena, providing them crowd and court familiarity advantages. Norfolk State faces travel and hostile environment challenges.
- Old Dominion looks to extend momentum from a dominant recent win and harness strong home support. Norfolk State aims to bounce back from a close defeat and may take value in the underdog role.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Old Dominion Monarchs: -310, Norfolk St Spartans: +240 | Old Dominion Monarchs | β β β β β 80% |
| Spread | Old Dominion Monarchs -6.5: -110, Norfolk St Spartans +6.5: -110 | Old Dominion Monarchs -6.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over 149.5: -106, Under 149.5: -118 | Over 149.5 points | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Old Dominion Monarchs 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 149.5 20% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 149.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Old Dominion Monarchs to cover the -6.5 spread.
Predicted Score: Old Dominion Monarchs 78 – Norfolk St Spartans 69