Match Analysis: Oklahoma St Cowboys vs Texas A&M-CC Islanders – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Gallagher-Iba Arena, Stillwater
Game Overview
Oklahoma State Cowboys host Texas A&M-CC Islanders in a non-conference NCAAB matchup. Oklahoma State enters with a 3-0 record and strong defensive metrics, while Texas A&M-CC is struggling offensively and defensively, ranking near the bottom nationally in scoring and efficiency.
Key Factors to Consider
- Oklahoma State is averaging 92.5 PPG, shooting 45.2% from the field, and allowing just 67.7 PPG. They rank 16th in points per possession allowed. Texas A&M-CC is averaging 66.0 PPG (330th in D1), shooting 37.5% from the field, and ranks 337th in points per possession. Their last game was a 77-46 loss to Kansas.
- No recent head-to-head matchups found. Oklahoma State has dominated weaker opponents this season, while Texas A&M-CC has struggled against Power 5 competition.
- Oklahoma State's Daniel Guetta is back from injury, but Anthony Roy (groin) remains sidelined. Texas A&M-CC has no major injury reports listed.
- Oklahoma State is playing at home, where they have gone Under in all three games this season. Texas A&M-CC is 0-2 on the road. Oklahoma State coach Steve Lutz previously led Texas A&M-CC, giving him deep familiarity with the Islanders' style.
- Oklahoma State is motivated to continue their undefeated start and build momentum. Texas A&M-CC is seeking a signature win but faces a steep challenge against a much stronger opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -7000, away: 2000 | Oklahoma St Cowboys | β β β β β 95% |
| Spread | home: -21.5 -110, away: 21.5 -110 | Oklahoma St Cowboys -21.5 | β β β β β 78% |
| Over/under | over: 160.5 -110, under: 160.5 -110 | Under 160.5 | β β β β β 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Oklahoma St Cowboys -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 160.5 37% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 160.5 at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 41.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Oklahoma State wins comfortably, covering the spread and keeping the game Under the total due to Texas A&M-CC's offensive struggles and Oklahoma State's defensive strength.
Predicted Score: Oklahoma State 87, Texas A&M-CC 68