Match Analysis: Oklahoma Sooners vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-12
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Lloyd Noble Center, Norman
Game Overview
Oklahoma hosts Arkansas-Pine Bluff in a non-conference matchup. Oklahoma is 1-1, coming off a loss at Gonzaga, while Arkansas-Pine Bluff is 0-3, struggling defensively and offensively against stronger competition.
Key Factors to Consider
- Oklahoma averages 85.0 points per game, allowing 74.5. Arkansas-Pine Bluff averages 65.3 points and allows 90.3, with poor shooting and high turnovers. Oklahomaβs recent loss was to a top-tier team, while UAPB has lost to Washington, Portland, and LMU by wide margins.
- Oklahoma won the last meeting 107-86. The Sooners have a clear historical edge and superior talent.
- No major injuries reported for either team.
- Game is played at Oklahomaβs home venue, a significant advantage. UAPB is on the road for the third consecutive game, facing a much stronger opponent.
- Oklahoma is motivated to bounce back from a loss and build momentum. UAPB is seeking its first win but faces a steep challenge.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -1000 | Oklahoma Sooners | β β β β β 92% |
| Spread | -33.5 -110 | Oklahoma Sooners -33.5 | β β β β β 84% |
| Over/under | 167.5 -110 | Under 167.5 | β β β β β 78% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 167.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 167.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Oklahoma dominates and covers the spread, but the game is not a blowout due to UAPBβs ability to score in spurts. The total stays under as both teams struggle with efficiency.
Predicted Score: Oklahoma 84, Arkansas-Pine Bluff 78