Match Analysis: Ohio State Buckeyes vs Western Michigan Broncos – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-21
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Value City Arena, Columbus
Game Overview
Ohio State Buckeyes (4-0) host Western Michigan Broncos (2-3) in a non-conference matchup. Ohio State enters as overwhelming favorites, with a dominant home record and a significant edge in talent and recent form. Western Michigan is the clear underdog, but recent betting trends and expert analysis suggest a potential for a competitive game within the spread.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ohio State has won all four of their games, including two at home, and have shown strong offensive and defensive capabilities. Western Michigan has struggled away from home, going 0-2, and has faced tougher competition, resulting in a 2-3 record. Ohio State's recent ATS record is 1-3, indicating they have not consistently covered large spreads.
- There is no recent head-to-head history between these two teams, making direct comparisons difficult. The matchup is rare, with no notable past meetings in recent seasons.
- No significant injuries have been reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- Ohio State is playing at home, which typically provides a boost in performance and crowd support. Western Michigan is on the road, which may affect their consistency and energy levels.
- Ohio State is motivated to maintain their undefeated record and build momentum for the season. Western Michigan is looking to prove themselves against a top-tier opponent and potentially cover a large spread.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ohio State Buckeyes: -20000, Western Michigan Broncos: 3500 | Ohio State Buckeyes | β β β β β 99% |
| Spread | Ohio State Buckeyes: -27.5, Western Michigan Broncos: 27.5 | Western Michigan Broncos +27.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 156.5, Under: 156.5 | Over 156.5 | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ohio State Buckeyes -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 156.5 3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 156.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ohio State is expected to win the game, but Western Michigan is likely to cover the spread. The game is projected to be high-scoring, with both teams contributing to a total that exceeds the over/under line.
Predicted Score: Ohio State 87, Western Michigan 72