Match Analysis: Ohio State Buckeyes vs Appalachian St Mountaineers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-11
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Value City Arena, Columbus, Ohio
Game Overview
The Ohio State Buckeyes (2-0) host the Appalachian State Mountaineers (2-1) in a matchup featuring a heavy favorite Buckeyes squad with a dominant home presence and high-scoring potential, against a resilient but underdog Mountaineers team.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ohio State is unbeaten with a dominant average scoring margin and efficient offense, scoring over 100 points in recent games. Appalachian State has been strong defensively but less consistent offensively, averaging 79 points per game with key contributors Jennings and Dodd.
- Limited recent direct matchups but trends favor Ohio Stateβs superior talent and home advantage, with Appalachian State showing toughness in covering spreads in underdog roles.
- No major injuries reported for either team; full rosters expected to participate maintaining team strength.
- Ohio State exhibits strong fan support at Value City Arena, with travel potentially impacting Appalachian State's performance. Public betting is 100% on Ohio State with heavy juice reflecting large favorite status.
- Ohio State has strong incentive to maintain unbeaten record and establish dominance early in the season; Appalachian State motivated to prove competitiveness against a top-tier Big Ten opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ohio State Buckeyes: -10000, Appalachian St Mountaineers: +3000 | Ohio State Buckeyes | β β β β β 90% |
| Spread | Ohio State Buckeyes -24.5: -108, Appalachian St Mountaineers +24.5: -112 | Ohio State Buckeyes -24.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over 148.5: -108, Under 148.5: -112 | Over 148.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ohio State Buckeyes -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 148.5 25% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 148.5 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ohio State Buckeyes to win outright and cover the spread; also expecting a game total over 148.5 points.
Predicted Score: Ohio State Buckeyes 87 – Appalachian St Mountaineers 60