Match Analysis: Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Detroit Mercy Titans – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-07
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Purcell Pavilion, South Bend, IN
Game Overview
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish host the Detroit Mercy Titans in this early season NCAA basketball game. Notre Dame leads with a 1-0 record and a recent strong 89-67 home win, while Detroit Mercy is 0-1 after a 91-71 road loss. Notre Dame is the heavy favorite, expected to dominate both offensively and defensively.
Key Factors to Consider
- Notre Dame shows strong offensive output, averaging 89 points with efficient shooting and solid defense allowing 67 points. Detroit Mercy struggled in their first game with poor shooting percentages (31.2% FG, 20% 3PT), allowing 91 points and a second half defensive collapse. Notre Dame's home advantage and superior statistics indicate a significant edge.
- In their last meeting, Notre Dame won 78-70. Notre Dame has the recent upper hand against Detroit Mercy, winning the matchup decisively.
- No significant injury reports affecting either team have been noted in available data.
- Notre Dame enjoys 91% public betting share indicating strong public confidence. The game is played at Notre Dameβs home court, adding home-crowd advantage. No notable external disruptions reported.
- Notre Dame is off to a strong start and motivated to assert dominance on their home court. Detroit Mercy seeks redemption after a heavy opening loss but faces uphill odds.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Detroit Mercy Titans: 2000, Notre Dame Fighting Irish: -7000 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | β β β β β 95% |
| Spread | Detroit Mercy Titans: +21.5 -110, Notre Dame Fighting Irish: -21.5 -110 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish -21.5 | β β β β β 90% |
| Over/under | Over: 148.5 -110, Under: 148.5 -110 | Over 148.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Notre Dame Fighting Irish -7% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 148.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 148.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Notre Dame Fighting Irish win comfortably, covering the -21.5 spread and controlling the pace, likely pushing the total score close to the over line due to Detroit Mercy's poor defense.
Predicted Score: Notre Dame Fighting Irish 85 – Detroit Mercy Titans 63