Match Analysis: Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Detroit Mercy Titans – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-07
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Notre Dame, IN (Host: Notre Dame Fighting Irish)
Game Overview
Notre Dame hosts Detroit Mercy in a non-conference matchup. Notre Dame is heavily favored, coming off a dominant 89-67 win, while Detroit Mercy lost its opener 71-91, indicating a significant talent and form gap between the two teams.
Key Factors to Consider
- Notre Dame (1-0) is in strong early-season form, averaging 89 PPG and winning by 22 in their opener. Detroit Mercy (0-1) lost by 20 on the road, conceding 91 points, and appears to be one of the weaker early-season teams.
- Notre Dame holds a recent head-to-head advantage, defeating Detroit Mercy 78-70. However, Notre Dame's current roster and coaching staff are notably stronger than in previous matchups.
- No major injuries reported for either side. Both teams appear to be at full strength.
- Standard travel for Detroit Mercy. No unusual weather or venue issues expected.
- Notre Dame has every incentive to impress in non-conference play; Detroit Mercy is still searching for its first win. Motivation is neutral-to-positive for both, but the talent gap is decisive.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Notre Dame -7000, Detroit Mercy +2000 | Notre Dame ML | β β β β β 99% |
| Spread | Notre Dame -21.5 (-110), Detroit Mercy +21.5 (-110) | Notre Dame -21.5 | β β β β β 80% |
| Over/under | Over 148.5 (-110), Under 148.5 (-110) | Over 148.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1979% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 148.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Notre Dame Fighting Irish at 1979% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 99% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Notre Dame covers the large spread in a dominant home win, fueled by superior talent, recent form, and the absence of any major Detroit Mercy counteradvantages.
Predicted Score: Notre Dame 88, Detroit Mercy 62