Match Analysis: Northern Iowa Panthers vs Furman Paladins – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: McLeod Center, Cedar Falls
Game Overview
Northern Iowa Panthers host Furman Paladins with Northern Iowa strongly favored at home in a matchup projecting defensive dominance and a moderate scoring pace.
Key Factors to Consider
- Northern Iowa is 2-0 with strong defensive metrics, holding opponents to 57.5 PPG and shooting 50%. Furman is 1-2, showing inconsistency and weaker defense.
- Recent simulations assign Northern Iowa an 85% win probability, with Furman at 15%, reflecting a significant performance gap.
- No notable injuries reported for either team, both squads expected near full strength.
- Northern Iowa benefits from home court advantage at McLeod Center, known for a hostile environment for visitors.
- Northern Iowa undefeated start and defensive pride elevate motivation, while Furman seeks to establish rhythm but may struggle on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Northern Iowa -670, Furman +470 | Northern Iowa | ★★★★☆ 86% |
| Spread | Northern Iowa -10.5 (-108), Furman +10.5 (-112) | Northern Iowa -10.5 | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Over/under | Over 141.5 (-110), Under 141.5 (-110) | Under 141.5 | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Northern Iowa Panthers -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 141.5 43% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 141.5 at 43% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 47.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Northern Iowa to win outright, cover the -10.5 spread, and total points to go Under 141.5
Predicted Score: Northern Iowa 76 – Furman 64
