Match Analysis: North Alabama Lions vs East Tennessee St Buccaneers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 8:00 PM UTC
- Location: Florence, AL
Game Overview
This NCAA basketball matchup features the North Alabama Lions hosting the East Tennessee State Buccaneers. Both teams have started the season with 2-1 records. East Tennessee State is a slight favorite with a narrow spread and moneyline advantage. The game total is set at 145.5 points, reflecting moderate expectations about combined scoring.
Key Factors to Consider
- North Alabama has a strong recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 games and posting a 3-2 record against the spread. East Tennessee State also enters with a 2-1 record and has historically performed slightly better against the spread overall. Both teams appear fairly balanced but North Alabama's home advantage is notable.
- Recent direct matchups are limited but East Tennessee State historically wins about 54.7% of encounters against teams like North Alabama, with a slightly positive ATS record (50.4%). This suggests a competitive but slightly favorable historical edge to the Buccaneers.
- No significant injuries have been reported for either side based on available data.
- The game is at North Alabama's home court in Florence, AL, which may provide them a subtle advantage. Weather and travel conditions do not appear to be impacting either team.
- Both teams are early in the season with strong motivation to build momentum and establish a winning record. East Tennessee St being the slight favorite may have extra incentive to assert dominance on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | East Tennessee State Buccaneers: -115, North Alabama Lions: -105 | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | β β β ββ 62% |
| Spread | East Tennessee State Buccaneers: -1.5 @ 102, North Alabama Lions: +1.5 @ -122 | East Tennessee State Buccaneers -1.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
| Over/under | Over 145.5: -112, Under 145.5: -108 | Under 145.5 | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | East Tennessee St Buccaneers 2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 145.5 2% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 145.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
East Tennessee State Buccaneers to win a close and low-margin game, covering the -1.5 spread by a small number of points.
Predicted Score: East Tennessee State Buccaneers 74 – North Alabama Lions 71