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NJIT Highlanders vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knights Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: NJIT Highlanders vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 15, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Joel & Diane Bloom Wellness and Events Center, Newark, NJ

Game Overview

NJIT Highlanders (2-1) host struggling Fairleigh Dickinson Knights (0-3) in a Northeast Conference matchup. NJIT enters as heavy favorites with a 54.92% win probability according to consensus predictions, while FDU has yet to record a victory this season. This represents a significant talent and form disparity, with NJIT showing defensive stability and FDU struggling across all metrics.

Key Factors to Consider

  • NJIT has won 2 of its last 3 games, including a narrow 66-64 road victory over Loyola Maryland on November 11. The Highlanders are averaging 63.7 points per game with solid defensive metrics (66.3 PPG allowed, ranked 98th nationally, 37.2% opponent FG%). However, they shoot only 38.3% from the field (335th in the nation) and 24.0% from three-point range. Fairleigh Dickinson has dropped all three games this season, most recently falling 53-74 to Fairfield on November 8. FDU is turning the ball over 15.0 times per game and allowing 90.5 points per game on 51.5% opponent shooting—extremely poor defensive marks. While FDU averages 96 PPG offensively, this is inflated by their defensive weakness and hasn't translated to wins.
  • No recent head-to-head history is provided in the available data. These programs appear to have limited recent matchup history, making this a relatively fresh rivalry dynamic.
  • No injury information is provided in the search results. Assume full roster availability for both teams unless otherwise noted.
  • NJIT plays at home where they have been 2-0 against the spread in their last 3 games and have won 6 of their last 7 first halves at home against Northeast Conference opponents. Fairleigh Dickinson is 0-3 and has lost 11 consecutive games against non-conference opponents. Additionally, NJIT has shown a concerning trend of losing 7 consecutive games at their home venue (Joel & Diane Bloom Center) following a road win—this is directly applicable as they won on the road against Loyola before returning home.
  • NJIT is motivated to maintain home-court dominance and build on their 2-1 start. Fairleigh Dickinson faces desperation at 0-3 but is facing an elite defensive matchup at an opponent's arena. Home teams have won 5 consecutive FDU games (not specified for which direction), suggesting environmental factors favor the home team.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline NJIT -130 | FDU +110 NJIT Highlanders ★★★★☆ 71%
Spread NJIT -1.5 -115 | FDU +1.5 -105 NJIT -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 146.5 -110 | Under 146.5 -110 Under 146.5 ★★★☆☆ 66%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline NJIT Highlanders 26%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 146.5 26%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 146.5 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

NJIT Highlanders to win via controlled home defense against a struggling FDU offense. Despite NJIT's historical struggles at their home venue following road wins, the massive talent gap and FDU's complete inability to execute on defense (51.5% opponent shooting allowed) suggests this edge is overwhelmed by matchup quality. Expect a low-scoring, defensive battle where NJIT's disciplined approach prevails. The total leans under due to NJIT's recent defensive consistency and both teams' inability to generate offensive efficiency.

Predicted Score: NJIT 65, Fairleigh Dickinson 58


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NJIT Highlanders vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knights Prediction

Match Analysis: NJIT Highlanders vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights – Prediction Match Details Date: November 15, 2025 Time: 9:00 PM UTC Location: Joel & Diane Bloom Wellness and Events Center, Newark, NJ Game Overview NJIT Highlanders (2-1) host struggling Fairleigh Dickinson Knights (0-3) in a Northeast Conference matchup. NJIT enters as heavy favorites with a 54.92% […]

Basketball Fairleigh Dickinson Knights NJIT Highlanders November 15, 2025

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St. John's Red Storm vs. William & Mary Tribe Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: St. John's Red Storm vs William & Mary Tribe – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Carnesecca Arena

Game Overview

The St. John's Red Storm, ranked 13th nationally, are heavy favorites against the William & Mary Tribe, with a significant talent, efficiency, and home court advantage gap. Both teams have started the season with mixed results, but St. John's shows superior offensive and defensive efficiency metrics. The matchup is expected to be a high-tempo, high-scoring game given both teams' fast pace.

Key Factors to Consider

  • St. John's ranks 22nd in adjusted offensive efficiency and 27th in defense, while William & Mary ranks 142nd offensively and 286th defensively. St. John's has struggled only marginally, currently 1-1, but shows dominance especially at home. William & Mary is 2-1 but has much weaker overall metrics.
  • St. John's has won all three games as a heavy moneyline favorite last season and maintains a dominant 38-game streak in night non-conference home games. William & Mary has lost their last five road games following a road loss, indicating struggles away from home.
  • No major injuries reported for either team affecting starters or rotation players that could influence the outcome materially.
  • The game will be hosted at Carnesecca Arena with St. John's playing at home, which historically boosts their performance. Both teams show a preference for fast-paced gameplay, increasing scoring potential. Media coverage and team motivation following a previous tough loss for St. John’s suggest a focused effort.
  • St. John's is coming off a tough loss and has had a full week to prepare under coach Rick Pitino, increasing motivation to dominate. William & Mary, as a significant underdog, has motivation limited by recent away losses and overall lower competitiveness.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -20000, away: +3500 St. John's Red Storm ★★★★★ 94%
Spread home: -112, away: -108 St. John's Red Storm -28.5 ★★★★☆ 88%
Over/under over: -110, under: -110 Over 177.5 ★★★★☆ 78%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline St. John's Red Storm -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 177.5 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 177.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

St. John's Red Storm to win on the moneyline, cover the -28.5 spread, and the game to go over 177.5 points.

Predicted Score: St. John's Red Storm 108 – William & Mary Tribe 75


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Davidson Wildcats vs. Bowling Green Falcons Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Davidson Wildcats vs Bowling Green Falcons – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: John M. Belk Arena, Davidson, NC

Game Overview

Davidson Wildcats and Bowling Green Falcons both enter undefeated at 3-0. Davidson plays at home with a strong record against non-conference opponents, while Bowling Green brings solid recent form and rebounding strength. The matchup is expected to be competitive but favors Davidson's experience and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams are 3-0. Davidson is 2-0 at home this season and unbeaten in 13 recent non-conference home games. Bowling Green leads MAC with 3-0, strong rebounding, and assists but must avoid turnovers. Davidson excels defensively and has strong balanced scoring led by Hunter Adam.
  • No recent head-to-head games available, but Davidson has dominated similar Atlantic 10 opponents and Bowling Green has struggled against A10 teams historically. Davidson also has won recent first halves against non-conference opponents.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team. Davidson's Platteeuw has an undisclosed injury but expected to play.
  • Davidson benefits from home crowd support and routine in John M. Belk Arena. Bowling Green faces the challenge of playing on the road in a tough venue. No adverse weather or travel issues noted.
  • Both teams are undefeated and motivated to maintain perfect starts. Davidson aims to extend home dominance. Bowling Green looks to prove MAC strength on the road against A10 competition.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -245, away: +198 Davidson Wildcats ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread home: -120 on -4.5, away: -102 on +4.5 Bowling Green Falcons +4.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over: -110 on 146.5, under: -110 on 146.5 Under 146.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Davidson Wildcats -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 146.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 146.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Davidson Wildcats to win straight-up (moneyline), but Bowling Green to cover +4.5 spread, and the total points to go under 146.5

Predicted Score: Davidson Wildcats 68 – Bowling Green Falcons 64


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UT-Arlington Mavericks vs. Missouri St Bears Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: UT-Arlington Mavericks vs Missouri St Bears – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 15, 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: College Park Center, Arlington, TX

Game Overview

Missouri State Bears (2-1) travel to face UT-Arlington Mavericks (2-1) in a Conference USA vs WAC matchup. Both teams enter with identical records, but divergent recent trajectories. Missouri State suffered a road loss to Arkansas State following a home win, while UT-Arlington has demonstrated dominance at home with a 14-18 record against non-AP-ranked opponents at College Park Center.

Key Factors to Consider

  • UT-Arlington showed explosive offensive capability, defeating UNT Dallas 91-40 with Raysean Seamster leading at 17 points and 15 rebounds. Missouri State imploded against Arkansas State, getting outrebounded 38-31, losing the paint battle 44-34, committing 11 turnovers, and shooting only 73% from the free throw line (27-37). Missouri State has lost each of its last seven road games following a home loss, establishing a clear negative trend.
  • Historical matchup on February 23rd shows UT-Arlington won 67-57 as -7.5 favorites, indicating UT-Arlington's home court advantage is substantial. UT-Arlington has won 14 of 18 games at home against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team.
  • UT-Arlington plays at home with a strong home court record. Missouri State's recent performance collapse and propensity to lose on the road following home losses creates a significant disadvantage. UT-Arlington has shown the ability to control games from the opening tip.
  • UT-Arlington seeks to build on a dominant home victory. Missouri State faces pressure to avoid extending their road loss streak and recover from a disappointing loss to Arkansas State.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline UT-Arlington -155 / Missouri State +130 UT-Arlington Mavericks ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread UT-Arlington -2.5 -115 / Missouri State +2.5 -105 UT-Arlington -2.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 146.5 -108 / Under 146.5 -112 Under 146.5 ★★★☆☆ 66%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline UT-Arlington Mavericks 18%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 146.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: UT-Arlington Mavericks at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

UT-Arlington Mavericks will defeat Missouri State Bears in a relatively controlled home victory. The combination of home court dominance, Missouri State's documented road struggles following home losses, and UT-Arlington's recent dominant performance creates a high-confidence play favoring the home team.

Predicted Score: UT-Arlington 74, Missouri State 68


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GW Revolutionaries vs. Old Dominion Monarchs Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: GW Revolutionaries vs Old Dominion Monarchs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Charles E. Smith Center, Washington, DC

Game Overview

George Washington Revolutionaries host Old Dominion Monarchs in a non-conference NCAAB matchup. GW enters 3-0 with strong offensive form, while ODU is 2-1 but has struggled defensively. Both teams are motivated for early season momentum.

Key Factors to Consider

  • GW averages 83.0 PPG, 39.5 RPG, 14.0 APG, and is 2-0-1 ATS. ODU averages 82.5 PPG, 37.0 RPG, 16.0 APG, but allows 70 PPG. GW has shown more consistent offensive production and defensive stability.
  • No recent H2H data available, but ODU has covered 6 of last 8 vs non-AP ranked teams. GW is 2-0-1 ATS this season.
  • GW: Autry (ankle), Bevins (back) – both questionable. ODU: No major injuries reported.
  • Game played at GW's home venue, which provides a crowd advantage. ODU is on the road after a home win.
  • GW is building momentum for A10 contention. ODU seeks to rebound from a narrow win and avoid a road loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -1100, away: 700 GW Revolutionaries ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread home: -14.5 -105, away: 14.5 -115 GW Revolutionaries -14.5 ★★★★☆ 74%
Over/under over: 156.5 -110, under: 156.5 -110 Under 156.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline GW Revolutionaries -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 156.5 30%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 156.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

GW covers the spread and wins outright, but the game stays under the total due to defensive trends and recent low-scoring matchups.

Predicted Score: GW 78 – ODU 72


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Murray St Racers vs. Nicholls St Colonels Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Murray St Racers vs Nicholls St Colonels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 15, 2025
  • Time: 10:30 PM UTC
  • Location: CFSB Center, Murray, KY

Game Overview

Murray State (2-1) hosts struggling Nicholls State (0-3) in a lopsided matchup. The Racers are favored to dominate, coming off a 26-point performance by Jackson. Nicholls State has been winless through three games and faces a significant talent and experience gap.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Murray State is 2-1 with recent wins and strong offensive output (Jackson 26 points). They are 2-1 against the spread and have gone OVER in 3 of their last 3 games. Nicholls State is 0-3 with losses to Valparaiso (63-68), Eastern Illinois (57-65), and Kentucky (51-77), showing consistent inability to keep games competitive.
  • No recent head-to-head history available in the search results. This appears to be a non-conference matchup between programs of significantly different competitive levels.
  • No injury information available in the provided search results.
  • Murray State is playing at home (CFSB Center), which provides a clear home-court advantage. Nicholls State is on the road and has struggled significantly early in the season. The 14.5-point spread reflects a significant talent disparity.
  • Murray State is building momentum with a 2-1 record and looking to extend their home dominance. Nicholls State is winless and desperate for a confidence-building performance, though they face an extremely difficult opponent in Murray State at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Murray St -1200 | Nicholls St +725 Murray State Moneyline ★★★★★ 92%
Spread Murray St -14.5 -110 | Nicholls St +14.5 -110 Murray State -14.5 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 160.5 -115 | Under 160.5 -105 Over 160.5 ★★★★☆ 71%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Murray St Racers 659%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 160.5 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Murray St Racers at 659% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 90.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Murray State dominates this matchup convincingly. The Racers' home-court advantage, superior talent, and strong recent form (particularly Jackson's offensive prowess) should overwhelm a 0-3 Nicholls State team that has shown no ability to compete in conference play. Expect a 15-20 point Murray State victory with scoring above the total.

Predicted Score: Murray State 78, Nicholls State 60


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Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Memphis Grizzlies Prediction NBA in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Cleveland Cavaliers vs Memphis Grizzlies – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 10:10 PM UTC
  • Location: Rocket Arena, Cleveland

Game Overview

The Cleveland Cavaliers host the Memphis Grizzlies with Cleveland favored heavily based on recent form, home advantage, and head-to-head dominance. The Grizzlies struggle on the road and as underdogs, while the Cavaliers have had strong home performances and favorable historical stats versus this team.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cavaliers hold an 8-5 record versus Grizzlies' 4-9. Cleveland has won 9 straight home games against Southwest Division teams with losing records and are recently strong at home, while Memphis has lost last 11 night games versus winning teams and is on a 3-game losing streak.
  • Cavaliers have dominated recent encounters, winning 5 out of last 6 matchups, often covering the spread comfortably. Memphis consistently fails to cover the spread on the road against Cleveland.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team impacting core players. Key Cavaliers players like Donovan Mitchell and Jarrett Allen recently posted strong performances, while Memphis lacks major player absences but shows form issues.
  • Game played at Cleveland's home arena, offering them strong crowd support. Memphis struggles historically with energy late in away games and has not capitalized on rest advantages recently.
  • Cavaliers aim to bounce back after a recent loss and maintain home dominance. Grizzlies look to stop a losing streak but have shown poor motivation and execution trouble on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cavaliers -460, Grizzlies +360 Cavaliers ★★★★☆ 81%
Spread Cavaliers -10.5 (-112), Grizzlies +10.5 (-108) Cavaliers -10.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 238.5 (-108), Under 238.5 (-112) Under 238.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cleveland Cavaliers -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 238.5 29%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 238.5 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cleveland Cavaliers to win moneyline, cover the spread, and the total points to go under

Predicted Score: Cavaliers 124 – Grizzlies 112


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CSU Fullerton Titans vs. Pacific Tigers Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: CSU Fullerton Titans vs Pacific Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 15, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Titan Gym, Fullerton

Game Overview

Pacific Tigers (2-1, WCC) travel to face Cal State Fullerton Titans (1-2, Big West) in a non-conference matchup. Pacific enters as road favorites at -6.5, suggesting market perception that they can overcome Fullerton's home court advantage. Both teams come off opposite results, with Pacific winning at home against Long Beach State while Fullerton suffered a blowout loss to Cal.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Pacific has won 2 of 3 games with strong scoring led by Elias Ralph (18.7 PPG, 8 RPG). However, Pacific is critically weak on the road (0-1) and has lost 9 consecutive day games, which is a red flag for a 10:00 PM Saturday start in an unfamiliar gym. Cal State Fullerton has lost 14 of its last 15 games overall but has won 8 of its last 9 home games against non-conference opponents at Titan Gym, indicating significant home-court strength. Fullerton ranks bottom-30 defensively, allowing significantly more points than Pacific.
  • No direct historical H2H data provided in search results, limiting comparative analysis between these specific teams.
  • No injury information provided in available data.
  • Cal State Fullerton plays at home where they have demonstrated strong performance (8-1 in recent non-conference home games). Pacific's poor day-game record (0-9) and road record (0-1) suggest environmental disadvantages despite being favored. The late 10:00 PM Saturday tip-off may mitigate some day-game concerns but travel fatigue remains relevant.
  • Cal State Fullerton is desperate after a 14-15 record streak and 0-2 start to the season, with a home crowd that could provide significant lift. Pacific, while favored, may suffer from complacency as road favorites and the psychological weight of poor away performances.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Pacific -290 / Fullerton +235 Pacific Tigers ML ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Pacific -6.5 -110 / Fullerton +6.5 -110 Pacific Tigers -6.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 156.5 -115 / Under 156.5 -105 Under 156.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Pacific Tigers -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 156.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 156.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Pacific Tigers will cover the spread as the more talented team, but Cal State Fullerton's home-court advantage and recent home success against non-conference opponents suggests this will be a closer contest than the -6.5 spread implies. Expect a low-scoring game given Fullerton's defensive limitations and Pacific's balanced attack.

Predicted Score: Pacific 76, Cal State Fullerton 70


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UC Riverside Highlanders vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: UC Riverside Highlanders vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: Saturday, November 15, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: SRC Arena, Riverside, California

Game Overview

UC Riverside Highlanders (2-1) host North Dakota Fighting Hawks (1-3) in a non-conference matchup. UC Riverside enters as 5.5-point favorites with strong home court performance, while North Dakota arrives on a rough stretch, having lost 10 of their last 11 non-conference games.

Key Factors to Consider

  • UC Riverside: 2-1 record with dominant offensive performance (90-49 win over La Sierra). Strong home splits: 2-0 ATS in road games, 2-0 ATS in last 2 games. Won last 9 home games vs non-AP-ranked opponents at SRC Arena. Last season ranked 143rd in offensive efficiency (74.8 PPG) but has shown improvement early this season. North Dakota: 1-3 record, struggling significantly. 1-11 SU in last 12 road games, 4-14 SU in last 18 underdog situations. Last season defensive issues (18th-worst, 79.5 PPG allowed) remain problematic.
  • UC Riverside defeated North Dakota 74-70 on November 7, 2025 (8 days ago). In that matchup, UC Riverside shot 57.1% from field, 81.5% from three-point range (22-27), dominated rebounding 31-26. Marqui Worthy led with 23 points, 7 rebounds, 3 assists. Osiris Grady added 19 points, 6 rebounds in 45 minutes.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team in available data.
  • Game played on neutral court (SRC Arena favors UC Riverside as home team). UC Riverside won first half in each of last 4 home games vs Summit League opponents. North Dakota has significant travel fatigue (1-11 on road). Public betting split 50-50 between teams on money percentage.
  • UC Riverside: Strong home court advantage, recent confidence from dominant win. Facing struggling opponent creates high-probability scenario. North Dakota: Desperate to break losing streak, but severe road struggles and recent head-to-head loss suggest limited motivation edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline North Dakota +215 / UC Riverside -265 UC Riverside Highlanders ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread UC Riverside -5.5 -110 / North Dakota +5.5 -110 UC Riverside -5.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 146.5 -114 / Under 146.5 -106 Under 146.5 ★★★☆☆ 64%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline UC Riverside Highlanders 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 146.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 146.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

UC Riverside Highlanders will dominate North Dakota Fighting Hawks. The Highlanders' superior offensive efficiency, dominant home court record (9-game win streak at SRC vs non-AP teams), and recent head-to-head victory combine with North Dakota's abysmal road record (1-11 in last 12 games) to create a high-confidence home win. UC Riverside should control both halves and win comfortably.

Predicted Score: UC Riverside 82, North Dakota 75


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Texas State Bobcats vs. Texas Southern Tigers Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Texas State Bobcats vs Texas Southern Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Strahan Coliseum, San Marcos, TX

Game Overview

A matchup between Texas State Bobcats (2-2) and Texas Southern Tigers (0-3). Texas State enters with a slightly better recent form and strong home performance, while Texas Southern struggles with a significant losing streak and shooting inefficiencies.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Texas State is 2-2 overall but has shown stronger offensive efficiency, averaging 78.3 points per game on 46.9% shooting. Texas Southern is 0-3, shooting 35.3% from three and 61.9% from the free throw line, indicating offensive struggles and defensive vulnerability.
  • Recent history favors Texas State with the home team winning the last four games. Texas Southern has lost 25 of its last 26 games against non-Conference opponents.
  • No significant injuries reported affecting either team according to available data.
  • Game is played at Texas State's home arena, giving them home-court advantage. Texas State’s recent day games have been high-scoring, suggesting pace may favor the over.
  • Texas State aims to improve to a winning record early in the season and maintain dominance at home. Texas Southern faces pressure to break their losing streak, but recent form suggests a motivational disadvantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Texas State Bobcats: -335, Texas Southern Tigers: +265 Texas State Bobcats ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Texas State Bobcats: -6.5 -120, Texas Southern Tigers: +6.5 -102 Texas State Bobcats -6.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over: 147.5 -115, Under: 147.5 -105 Over 147.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Texas State Bobcats -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 147.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 147.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Favor Texas State Bobcats to win outright with a moderately confident spread cover. The total points likely lean towards over due to offensive tendencies of Texas State and recent high-scoring day games at the venue.

Predicted Score: Texas State Bobcats 79 – 68 Texas Southern Tigers


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