Match Analysis: NJIT Highlanders vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: Joel & Diane Bloom Wellness and Events Center, Newark, NJ
Game Overview
The NJIT Highlanders (2-1) host the Fairleigh Dickinson Knights (0-3) in a Northeast Conference matchup. NJIT has shown solid defense but below-average shooting efficiency, allowing 66.3 points per game while scoring 63.7 on 38.3% shooting. Fairleigh Dickinson struggles with turnovers (15.0 per game) and fouls (19.7 per game) but averages 96 points on 38.1% shooting. The total points line is set at 146.5, reflecting two teams with contrasting styles β NJITβs tighter defense versus Fairleigh Dickinsonβs higher scoring offense but recent inconsistency.
Key Factors to Consider
- NJIT has a 2-1 record with a strong defensive profile, forcing 12.7 turnovers per game and limiting opponents to 37.2% shooting. Their offense ranks low nationally. Fairleigh Dickinson is 0-3, prone to turnovers and fouls, and ranks poorly in team passing, but can score in bunches. NJITβs rebounding is strong (36.0 per game), a slight advantage over Fairleigh Dickinsonβs 34.0 boards.
- No recent direct matchup data available. NJIT recently beat Loyola 66-64. Fairleigh Dickinson has lost 11 straight non-conference games, indicating recent struggles. Historical trends show that NJIT often performs well at home, particularly in first halves.
- No specific injury reports found for either team prior to this match.
- The game is at NJIT's home arena, where home teams for Fairleigh Dickinson's last five games have won, giving potential motivation for FDU. NJIT has had mixed results at home following road wins, adding a slight variability factor. The game will be broadcast on ESPN+.
- NJIT, with a winning record and home court advantage, is motivated to maintain momentum against a struggling Fairleigh Dickinson squad seeking its first win. Fairleigh Dickinson must overcome turnovers and defensive issues to challenge the favored Highlanders.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | NJIT Highlanders: -130, Fairleigh Dickinson Knights: 110 | NJIT Highlanders | β β β β β 70% |
| Spread | NJIT Highlanders: -1.5 (-115), Fairleigh Dickinson Knights: +1.5 (-105) | NJIT Highlanders -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 146.5 (-110), Under: 146.5 (-110) | Under 146.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | NJIT Highlanders 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 146.5 30% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 146.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
NJIT Highlanders are favored to win by a narrow margin due to stronger defensive play and better recent form. Expect a competitive game but NJIT to hold the edge on both ends. The total is likely to go under the 146.5 line given both teams' recent tendencies to stay below projected scoring.
Predicted Score: NJIT Highlanders 72 – Fairleigh Dickinson Knights 68