Match Analysis: NJIT Highlanders vs Fairfield Stags – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Joel & Diane Bloom Wellness and Events Center, Newark, NJ
Game Overview
Fairfield Stags (0-1) visit NJIT Highlanders (1-0) in early-season non-conference action. Fairfield is a moderate road favorite, having lost narrowly at Penn State, while NJIT opened with a solid road win at Fordham. The market projects a moderate-paced, competitive game.
Key Factors to Consider
- NJIT started strong with a 72-61 road win at Fordham, shooting 54.5% from three, led by Bolden (18 pts, 7 reb), while Fairfield fell 76-68 at Penn State, struggling from the field (38.6% FG, 18.2% 3P) but excelling at the line (88.9% FT). NJITβs recent home form is poor (lost 6 straight at home after road wins), but Fairfieldβs recent day-game record vs. non-AP opponents is also concerning (lost 9 straight)[3][5].
- Recent H2H data not available; focus is on recent team trends and venue-specific performance.
- No significant injury reports found in available data.
- Game is at NJITβs home court, but their recent home struggles after road wins are notable. Both teams are well-rested, coming off season openers earlier in the week.
- Both teams seeking early-season momentum. Fairfield aims to bounce back from a road loss, while NJIT looks to build on a promising road win and reverse poor home form.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Fairfield -235, NJIT +195 | NJIT Highlanders | β β β ββ 60% |
| Spread | Fairfield -5.5 (-115), NJIT +5.5 (-105) | NJIT Highlanders +5.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 145.5 -110, Under 145.5 -110 | Under 145.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Fairfield Stags 62% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 145.5 7% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Fairfield Stags at 62% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
This is a classic βtrapβ game: Fairfield is favored, but NJITβs hot shooting and Fairfieldβs offensive struggles suggest the Highlanders can keep it close at home, and their home venue may not be as much of an advantage as the market assumes. The under is a strong play given both teamsβ offensive inconsistencies and recent total trends.
Predicted Score: NJIT Highlanders 70, Fairfield Stags 68