Match Analysis: New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-30
- Time: 12:05 AM UTC
- Location: Madison Square Garden, New York
Game Overview
This NBA match features the New York Knicks hosting the Indiana Pacers in a crucial postseason encounter. The Knicks have the slight historical edge in head-to-head matchups, but recent form and competitive intensity in the 2025 Eastern Conference Finals add high stakes to this game.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Knicks have won 102 of 198 all-time regular season games against the Pacers, demonstrating a minor but meaningful overall advantage. However, in recent head-to-heads since 2004, the Pacers hold a lead with 55 wins to the Knicks' 40. Recently, the Knicks lost 130-121 to the Pacers in Game 4 of the 2025 Eastern Conference Finals, indicating competitive parity and a slight momentum tilt towards the Pacers.
- All-time regular season record favors the Knicks 102-96. Since 2004, the Pacers have a better overall record (55-40) against the Knicks. The teams have had close playoff battles in recent years, including a 4-3 Pacers win in the 2024 Eastern Conference Semifinals. The rivalry remains intense and competitive, with games often closely contested.
- No specific injury updates were provided in the available data. Given the critical nature of the match, both teams are likely to field their best available lineups unless late-breaking news emerges.
- The game is played at Madison Square Garden, giving the Knicks home-court advantage. Motivation is amplified by the playoff context and the historic rivalry, including past playoff clashes and strong fan engagement.
- Both teams are highly motivated as this is a critical playoff game. The Knicks aim to leverage home advantage to even the series or gain a series lead, while the Pacers look to maintain momentum from their recent win and close out the series or force further games.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | New York Knicks: -205, Indiana Pacers: 172 | New York Knicks | β β β ββ 68% |
| Spread | New York Knicks: -4.5 -114, Indiana Pacers: +4.5 -106 | New York Knicks -4.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 222.5: -110, Under 222.5: -110 | Under 222.5 | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | New York Knicks 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 222.5 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 222.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the home-court advantage, historical edge in total wins, and strong motivation, the New York Knicks are predicted to narrowly edge out the Indiana Pacers in this matchup. However, the Pacers' recent form and resilience suggest a closely contested game with potential for an upset.
Predicted Score: Knicks 112 – Pacers 107