Match Analysis: New Orleans Pelicans vs San Antonio Spurs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-25
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, Louisiana
Game Overview
The San Antonio Spurs visit the New Orleans Pelicans for their first matchup of the 2025-26 NBA season. The Spurs open as slight 1.5-point favorites on the road in what is expected to be a competitive contest with a total points line set at 230.5.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Spurs come into the game with a 1-0 record, showing early season momentum, whereas the Pelicans are 0-1 with a weak recent form (0-5 in last 5 games overall). The Pelicans also have a poor record against the spread, particularly at home. Spurs have had a stronger performance historically this season.
- Historically, the teams have split recent meetings fairly evenly, with the Pelicans holding a slight overall edge 13-11 in 24 games. However, current form favors the Spurs.
- No significant injuries reported for either team, suggesting both will start with full rosters.
- The game is at the Pelicans' home court which normally gives some advantage, but market money and team momentum favor the Spurs.
- The Spurs, coming off a win and as a division rival, have strong incentive to start the season on a positive note and establish early dominance. Pelicans look to improve from a losing start but lack recent momentum.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | San Antonio Spurs: -125, New Orleans Pelicans: +105 | San Antonio Spurs | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | San Antonio Spurs -1.5 -110, New Orleans Pelicans +1.5 -110 | San Antonio Spurs -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 230.5 -110, Under 230.5 -110 | Over 230.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | San Antonio Spurs -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 230.5 18% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 230.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Antonio Spurs to win outright on the moneyline, covering the spread, and game total going Over 230.5 points.
Predicted Score: San Antonio Spurs 118 – New Orleans Pelicans 112