Match Analysis: New Orleans Pelicans vs Los Angeles Lakers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-14
- Time: 1:10 AM UTC
- Location: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA
Game Overview
The New Orleans Pelicans host the Los Angeles Lakers in an NBA Cup Pool play matchup at the Smoothie King Center. Both teams are looking to improve their standings in the Western Conference, with the Lakers currently holding a slight edge in the standings. The game is scheduled for Friday, November 14, 2025, at 7:00 PM Central Time.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Lakers enter the game with a 3-2 record, showing solid offensive production and a balanced attack. The Pelicans, on the other hand, are struggling with a 0-4 record, having lost all four of their games so far this season. Their defense has been porous, and they have not found consistency on offense.
- Historically, the Lakers have had the upper hand in recent matchups against the Pelicans, especially in games played in New Orleans. The Lakers have won 4 of the last 5 meetings, including a close victory in their last encounter.
- The Pelicans are dealing with several injuries, including key players such as Zion Williamson, who is listed as questionable. The Lakers have a relatively healthy roster, with no major injuries reported for this game.
- The game is being played at the Smoothie King Center, which is a cashless venue. The Pelicans will be playing in front of their home crowd, but their recent poor performance may affect fan support. The Lakers are well-rested and have had a few days off leading up to this game.
- Both teams are motivated to win, but the Lakers have more to play for as they look to solidify their position in the standings. The Pelicans are desperate for a win to avoid a winless start to the season.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Lakers: -450, Pelicans: 350 | Los Angeles Lakers | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Spread | Lakers -10.5 (-110), Pelicans +10.5 (-110) | Los Angeles Lakers -10.5 | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Over/under | Over 228.5 (-110), Under 228.5 (-110) | Over 228.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Los Angeles Lakers -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 228.5 24% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 228.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Lakers are favored to win this game due to their superior record, better team health, and recent head-to-head dominance. The Pelicans are likely to struggle offensively and defensively, especially if Zion Williamson is out. The Lakers should be able to cover the spread and push the total over the line.
Predicted Score: Los Angeles Lakers 118, New Orleans Pelicans 105
