Match Analysis: New Orleans Pelicans vs Chicago Bulls – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-25
- Time: 1:10 AM UTC
- Location: Smoothie King Center
Game Overview
The upcoming NBA match between the New Orleans Pelicans and Chicago Bulls features two historically competitive teams, with Chicago holding a slight edge in overall wins and recent performance. The Bulls are favored in moneyline and spread bets, reflecting stronger recent form and defensive efficiency, while a relatively high over/under line suggests a potentially high-scoring game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Chicago Bulls have won 4 of their last 5 matches against the Pelicans, averaging 120 points per game with 113 opponent points, and have an 80% ATS win rate recently. They average 120.2 points, 47.5 rebounds, and 29.4 assists in the last 10 games. The Pelicans, by contrast, are 3-2 in their last 5 games with lower scoring output (108.8 PPG) and higher opponent scoring (128.6 PPG). Pelicansβ defensive struggles are notable compared to Bulls' better defensive record.
- Historically, the Bulls have 27 wins to the Pelicansβ 23 in around 50 regular season games since 2004. The Bulls have dominated recent encounters with 4 wins out of 5 and a historical record reflecting tighter defense and slightly higher scoring. At the Pelicansβ home venue (Smoothie King Center), Pelicans have six wins out of the last eight games, including a 123-111 victory in their last matchup, indicating some home advantage.
- No specific injury data is available from the current sources for key players in this match; injury status should be monitored closer to game time for optimal prediction adjustments.
- The game being played at the Pelicansβ home court (Smoothie King Center) provides them with a potential boost despite their poorer recent defensive stats. Travel for the Bulls might slightly impact energy levels, but their strong away scoring record (120.5 PPG) could compensate.
- With the Bulls favored by bookmakers and performing better recently, their motivation to maintain or improve playoff positioning is likely high. The Pelicans, coming off mixed results and high defensive concessions, will be motivated to leverage home advantage to rebound.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chicago Bulls: -210, New Orleans Pelicans: 176 | Chicago Bulls | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | Chicago Bulls: -5 -110, New Orleans Pelicans: +5 -110 | Chicago Bulls -5 | β β β β β 72% |
| Over/under | Over: 243.5 -110, Under: 243.5 -110 | Over 243.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chicago Bulls -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 243.5 26% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 243.5 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Chicago Bulls are expected to win this game due to superior recent performance, solid defense, and more consistent scoring, though the Pelicansβ home court advantage may keep the game competitive. The spread prediction favors Bulls covering -5 points, with a moderately high confidence level. The game is also likely to go over the total points line of 243.5 given both teamsβ recent scoring trends and defensive vulnerabilities.
Predicted Score: Chicago Bulls 124 – New Orleans Pelicans 117