Match Analysis: New Orleans Pelicans vs Atlanta Hawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-23
- Time: 12:10 AM UTC
- Location: Smoothie King Center
Game Overview
The New Orleans Pelicans host the Atlanta Hawks at Smoothie King Center in a matchup with both teams looking to solidify their positions in the Western and Eastern conferences. The Hawks have been dominant in recent head-to-head matchups, winning the last two meetings, including a 126-111 victory in New Orleans. Both teams are averaging high points per game, with the Hawks leading the league in offensive output. The Pelicans, despite a strong home record, have struggled defensively, while the Hawks have shown resilience on the road. The game is expected to be high-scoring, with both teams relying on their offensive firepower.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Atlanta Hawks are averaging 118.7 points per game, 50.1% field goal shooting, and 80.2% free-throw shooting. Their defense allows 114.1 points per game. The New Orleans Pelicans average 110.3 points per game, 45.7% field goal shooting, and 78.0% free-throw shooting, but allow 119.4 points per game. The Hawks have won 6 of their last 10 games, while the Pelicans have won 2 of their last 10. The Hawks are also on a 2-game winning streak against the Pelicans.
- The Atlanta Hawks have a 25-22 (53.2%) all-time record against the Pelicans. In the last 5 meetings, the Hawks have won 3 and the Pelicans 2. The Hawks have won the last 2 meetings, including a 126-111 victory in New Orleans on 03/11/2024. The average points per game in the last 5 meetings is 115.8 for the Hawks and 113.8 for the Pelicans.
- No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both teams are expected to field their full rosters.
- The game is being played at Smoothie King Center, where the Pelicans have a strong home record. However, the Hawks have shown they can win on the road, especially against the Pelicans. The weather and travel conditions are not expected to impact the game.
- Both teams are motivated to improve their standings. The Hawks are looking to maintain their momentum and solidify their position in the Eastern Conference, while the Pelicans are aiming to turn around their recent losing streak and improve their defensive performance.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Atlanta Hawks: -310, New Orleans Pelicans: 250 | Atlanta Hawks | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | Atlanta Hawks: -7.5 -110, New Orleans Pelicans: 7.5 -110 | Atlanta Hawks | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over: 231.5 -110, Under: 231.5 -110 | Over | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Atlanta Hawks -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 231.5 24% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 231.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Atlanta Hawks are favored to win this game due to their superior offensive performance and recent head-to-head dominance. The game is expected to be high-scoring, with both teams likely to exceed the over/under line. The Hawks are also expected to cover the spread, given their recent form and the Pelicans' defensive struggles.
Predicted Score: Atlanta Hawks 118 – 114 New Orleans Pelicans
