Match Analysis: New Mexico Lobos vs UT-Arlington Mavericks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: The Pit, Albuquerque, NM
Game Overview
The New Mexico Lobos host the UT-Arlington Mavericks in an early season NCAAB matchup. Both teams are 1-0, but New Mexico is heavy favorite at home with significant spread advantage and strong home performance history.
Key Factors to Consider
- New Mexico is coming off a 76-54 home win with balanced scoring and strong defense, while UT-Arlington dominated weaker competition 91-40 but has historically struggled against top Mountain West teams.
- New Mexico won the previous matchup by a close 82-80 score. The Lobos have a strong 12-game winning streak at home against non-ranked opponents.
- No significant injuries reported for either team at this time.
- The game is at New Mexico's home venue, The Pit, which historically gives the Lobos a significant edge.
- New Mexico seeks to reinforce its Mountain West dominance early, while UT-Arlington looks to prove itself on the road after a big opening win.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | New Mexico -850, UT-Arlington +575 | New Mexico | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | New Mexico -12.5 (-115), UT-Arlington +12.5 (-105) | New Mexico -12.5 | β β β β β 78% |
| Over/under | Over 149.5 (-110), Under 149.5 (-110) | Under 149.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | New Mexico Lobos -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 149.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 149.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
New Mexico to win straight up and cover the -12.5 spread while the total points fall under 149.5
Predicted Score: New Mexico Lobos 77 – UT-Arlington Mavericks 62