Match Analysis: Nevada Wolf Pack vs Pacific Tigers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 3:00 AM UTC
- Location: Lawlor Events Center, Reno
Game Overview
Nevada Wolf Pack host Pacific Tigers in a non-conference matchup to open the season. Both teams enter with 1-0 records, but Nevada’s home dominance and superior recent form make them heavy favorites.
Key Factors to Consider
- Nevada opened with a dominant 77-50 win over Louisiana Tech, shooting 44.6% from the field and holding opponents to 36% shooting. Pacific won 83-56 over Life Pacific but struggled at the free-throw line (68.4%). Nevada’s defense is stifling, especially at home, and their offense is efficient.
- Nevada has a strong historical record against Pacific, especially in November, going 22-2 SU in their last 24 games played in this month. Pacific is 0-11 SU in their last 11 games against Nevada.
- No injuries reported for either team.
- Nevada is playing at home in Lawlor Events Center, a venue where they have historically dominated, especially in November. The crowd and home-court advantage are significant.
- Both teams are motivated to start the season strong, but Nevada’s recent dominance and home-court edge provide extra motivation to continue their winning streak.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -720, away: 500 | Nevada Wolf Pack | Not available |
| Spread | home: -10.5, away: 10.5 | Nevada Wolf Pack -10.5 | Not available |
| Over/under | over: 142.5, under: 142.5 | Under 142.5 | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Nevada Wolf Pack -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 142.5 33% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 142.5 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Nevada Wolf Pack to win by double digits and cover the spread, with the game finishing under the total points line.
Predicted Score: Nevada Wolf Pack 76, Pacific Tigers 64