Match Analysis: NC State Wolfpack vs UNC Greensboro Spartans – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-13
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Lenovo Center, Raleigh
Game Overview
NC State Wolfpack host UNC Greensboro Spartans in a non-conference NCAAB matchup. NC State enters 2-0 with dominant wins, while UNC Greensboro is 0-2 and struggling offensively. The game is expected to be a blowout, with NC State favored by over 30 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- NC State has won both games by large margins, averaging 104 points per game and shooting efficiently. UNC Greensboro has lost both games, averaging just 56.5 points and shooting poorly from the field and free throw line.
- NC State has won 42 of its last 44 night games against non-conference opponents at Lenovo Center. NC State has also won the first half in 20 of its last 22 such games.
- No injuries reported for either team.
- Game is played at NC State's home arena, Lenovo Center, which is a significant home-court advantage. No weather or crowd disruptions expected.
- NC State is highly motivated to continue strong start and protect home court. UNC Greensboro is seeking its first win but faces a steep challenge.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -20000 | NC State Wolfpack | β β β β β 98% |
| Spread | -30.5 -105 | NC State Wolfpack -30.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | 154.5 -115 | Over 154.5 | β β β β β 74% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 154.5 22% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 154.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
NC State Wolfpack to win by more than 30 points and the game to go over 154.5 points.
Predicted Score: NC State 98, UNC Greensboro 62