Match Analysis: NC State Wolfpack vs Seton Hall Pirates – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-24
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Lahaina Civic Center, Lahaina, Hawaii
Game Overview
NC State Wolfpack (4-0) host Seton Hall Pirates (5-0) in a highly anticipated matchup at the Lahaina Civic Center. Both teams enter the game unbeaten, but NC State is heavily favored by the sportsbooks. The game is part of a major early-season tournament, with both teams looking to make a statement. The Wolfpack are ranked No. 25 and have shown strong offensive and defensive efficiency, while Seton Hall has dominated weaker competition but faces a significant step up in class here.
Key Factors to Consider
- NC State has been dominant offensively, averaging over 80 points per game and shooting efficiently. Their defense ranks 31st in efficiency. Seton Hall is averaging 73 points per game (276th nationally) but has allowed only 54.6 points per game (3rd nationally). The Pirates have not faced a team ranked higher than 209th in KenPom, while NC State has already played tougher competition. NC State's offense is ranked 16th in efficiency, while Seton Hall's offense is 151st.
- NC State leads the all-time series 3-2, but Seton Hall won the most recent meeting 94-83 in the NCAA Tournament in 2018. The Wolfpack have not faced the Pirates in a regular season matchup recently.
- No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both squads are expected to be at full strength.
- The game is being played in Lahaina, Hawaii, which may impact travel and acclimatization for both teams. NC State is at home for this tournament, giving them a slight edge in familiarity. The venue is neutral, but NC State is considered the home team for this matchup.
- Both teams are motivated to remain unbeaten and advance in the tournament. NC State is looking to prove themselves against a ranked opponent, while Seton Hall seeks to validate their undefeated record against a higher-level team.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | NC State Wolfpack: -690, Seton Hall Pirates: 480 | NC State Wolfpack | β β β β β 90% |
| Spread | NC State Wolfpack: -10.5 -110, Seton Hall Pirates: 10.5 -110 | NC State Wolfpack -10.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | Over: 144.5 -110, Under: 144.5 -110 | Over 144.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | NC State Wolfpack 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 144.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 144.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
NC State is expected to win this game comfortably due to their superior offensive efficiency and overall team strength. Seton Hall's defense is strong, but their offense may struggle to keep up with NC State's pace. The Wolfpack should cover the spread, and the game is likely to go over the total points line.
Predicted Score: NC State 80, Seton Hall 69