Match Analysis: Navy Midshipmen vs Yale Bulldogs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-07
- Time: 1:30 AM UTC
- Location: Navy Alumni Hall, Annapolis, Maryland
Game Overview
Navy Midshipmen (1-0) host Yale Bulldogs (0-0) in an early season NCAA basketball matchup. Yale enters favored by 6.5 points with a total set at 147.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Yale has a strong offensive background from last season (81.3 PPG, 25th nationally) but a weaker defense (70.1 PPG allowed). Navy scored 70.8 PPG last season with a more balanced defense conceding 70.4 PPG. Navy is 1-0 currently, suggesting momentum, while Yale opens 0-0.
- Limited recent data for direct matchups; Yale generally regarded as stronger program historically. The line movement suggests respect for Yale but also confidence in Navy at home.
- No reported injuries for either team, indicating full rosters available.
- Game played at Navy's home court (Annapolis), which can boost Navyβs competitiveness. CBS Sports Network coverage provides exposure, but no reported travel or other external disruptions.
- Navy seeks to prove early in the season against a favored Ivy League opponent; Yale aims to validate its ranking and resume offensive efficiency after offseason.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Yale -260, Navy +210 | Yale | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Yale -6.5 (-105), Navy +6.5 (-115) | Yale -6.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 147.5 -110, Under 147.5 -110 | Under 147.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 147.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 147.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Yale to cover the 6.5-point spread and win with a controlled game tempo resulting in an under total score outcome.
Predicted Score: Yale 79 – Navy 67