Match Analysis: Murray St Racers vs Nicholls St Colonels – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 10:30 PM UTC
- Location: CFSB Center, Murray, KY
Game Overview
Murray State Racers (2-1) host Nicholls State Colonels (0-3) in a non-conference NCAAB matchup. The Racers are strong favorites, with a spread of -14.5 and a total set at 160.5. Murray State has shown offensive dominance this season, while Nicholls State struggles to score and defend, making this a high-probability home win with a likely high-scoring game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Murray State averages 94.7 points per game, with a +15.0 average score margin, 19.0 assists, and 37.7 rebounds per game. Their effective field goal percentage is 54.8%, and they force turnovers at a high rate. Nicholls State averages only 57.0 points per game, with a -13.0 average score margin, 8.7 assists, and 33.3 rebounds per game. Their effective field goal percentage is just 40.0%, and they struggle with turnovers and offensive rebounding.
- No recent head-to-head data is available for this matchup, but Murray State's current form and statistical dominance suggest a clear edge.
- No significant injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- Murray State is playing at home, where they have gone over the total in their last two games. Nicholls State is 0-3 on the road this season, with all losses by double digits. The public betting is overwhelmingly on Murray State, with 100% of bets on the Racers.
- Murray State is looking to build momentum after a strong start, while Nicholls State seeks its first win of the season. The Racers are motivated to maintain their home dominance, while the Colonels are under pressure to avoid another blowout loss.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Murray St Racers: -1200, Nicholls St Colonels: 725 | Murray St Racers | β β β β β 95% |
| Spread | Murray St Racers: -14.5 -110, Nicholls St Colonels: 14.5 -110 | Murray St Racers -14.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | Over: 160.5 -115, Under: 160.5 -105 | Over 160.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Murray St Racers -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 160.5 22% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 160.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Murray State is heavily favored to win this game, with a high probability of covering the -14.5 spread. The total is likely to go over 160.5, given Murray State's offensive output and the trend of high-scoring games at home. Nicholls State's struggles on both ends of the floor make an upset highly unlikely.
Predicted Score: Murray State 88, Nicholls State 73