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Morgan St Bears vs. UMBC Retrievers Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Morgan St Bears vs UMBC Retrievers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: Tuesday, November 11, 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Hill Field House, Baltimore, MD

Game Overview

UMBC Retrievers (1-1) travel to Baltimore to face Morgan State Bears (1-1) in an early-season matchup. Both teams are seeking momentum after splitting their opening games. UMBC comes off a 77-71 road loss to Dayton, while Morgan State secured a 101-77 home victory over Crown College. This is a low-seed matchup with limited historical significance, making it a value-hunting opportunity.

Key Factors to Consider

  • UMBC averages 72.5 PPG on 43.8% shooting while allowing 65 PPG on 42.3% defense. Key scorer Jah'likai King leads with 18.5 PPG and 6.5 RPG (38.7% FG, 75% FT). DJ Armstrong Jr. contributes 13.5 PPG on efficient 60% shooting. The Retrievers excel from three-point range (40.7%) and at the free throw line (73.9%), but defensive perimeter issues were exposed at Dayton (allowing 10 three-pointers). Morgan State's offensive output (101 PPG vs. Crown College) suggests improved ball movement and scoring depth. UMBC's road performance remains a concern, with the team seeking its first away win.
  • No significant head-to-head history provided in available data. This appears to be an early-season matchup without established patterns between these programs.
  • No injury information reported for either team. Full roster availability assumed for both sides.
  • UMBC is on a 6-of-8 game losing streak historically, suggesting consistency issues. Morgan State showed dominance at home against Crown College, indicating potential home-court advantage. The neutral site factor is minimal given Morgan State's home court. ESPN+ broadcast ensures reasonable visibility.
  • Both teams are 1-1 and seeking their first definitive win trajectory. Morgan State has home court advantage and momentum from beating Crown College decisively. UMBC faces pressure to secure a road victory and prove capability away from home. Neither team faces existential pressure at this stage of the season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Morgan St Bears +154 | UMBC Retrievers -192 UMBC Retrievers ML ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Morgan St Bears +3.5 (-105) | UMBC Retrievers -3.5 (-115) UMBC -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 64%
Over/under Over 166.5 (-114) | Under 166.5 (-110) Under 166.5 ★★★☆☆ 61%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline UMBC Retrievers -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 166.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 166.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

UMBC Retrievers upset Morgan State Bears in a moderate-scoring affair. Despite home court disadvantage, UMBC's superior three-point shooting (40.7% vs. implied ~35%), free throw efficiency (73.9%), and depth scoring (King, Armstrong, Valentine all in double figures) should overcome Morgan State's home advantage. Morgan State's defense allowed 101 PPG to a weak opponent, and UMBC's defensive efficiency (65 PPG allowed) is superior. The key X-factor: UMBC's perimeter shooting can exploit Morgan State's apparent defensive vulnerabilities.

Predicted Score: UMBC 71, Morgan State 67


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Morgan St Bears vs. UMBC Retrievers Prediction

Match Analysis: Morgan St Bears vs UMBC Retrievers – Prediction Match Details Date: Tuesday, November 11, 2025 Time: 11:00 PM UTC Location: Hill Field House, Baltimore, MD Game Overview UMBC Retrievers (1-1) travel to Baltimore to face Morgan State Bears (1-1) in an early-season matchup. Both teams are seeking momentum after splitting their opening games. […]

Basketball Morgan St Bears November 11, 2025 UMBC Retrievers

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Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Yale Bulldogs Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Quinnipiac Bobcats vs Yale Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-12
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: M&T Bank Arena, Hamden, Connecticut

Game Overview

The Yale Bulldogs (1-0) visit the Quinnipiac Bobcats (1-1) in a Northeast Conference matchup. Yale enters with strong offensive efficiency and rebounding margin, favored by sportsbooks by about 7.5 points. Quinnipiac, playing at home, is coming off a recent win but has shown inconsistencies, especially on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Yale boasts 97 points per game with 50% shooting including 46.2% from three and controls rebounds. Quinnipiac has a negative point differential and a weaker road record, posting a 1-1 spread record recently.
  • Last season Yale defeated Quinnipiac 88-62 decisively. Yale has the psychological edge with recent commanding wins and consistent defense against Quinnipiac.
  • No significant injury reports for either team detected; both are expected to field full rosters.
  • Game held at Quinnipiac’s home arena; however, Yale's road performance is solid early. Ivy League restrictions may influence Yale’s pace but do not reduce their shooting efficiency.
  • Yale aims to maintain an undefeated start and establish dominance early in the season. Quinnipiac looks to rebound from early season losses and defend home court advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Quinnipiac: +245, Yale: -305 Yale ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Quinnipiac +7.5: -110, Yale -7.5: -110 Yale -7.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 155.5: -112, Under 155.5: -108 Under 155.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Yale Bulldogs -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 155.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 155.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Yale to win moneyline, cover -7.5 spread, and game total to go under 155.5 points.

Predicted Score: Yale 80 – Quinnipiac 68


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UAB Blazers vs. Alabama St Hornets Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: UAB Blazers vs Alabama St Hornets – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-12
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Bartow Arena, Birmingham, AL

Game Overview

UAB Blazers host Alabama St Hornets in an early-season non-conference basketball matchup. UAB shows a strong home offensive performance, while Alabama St is the underdog with poor recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • UAB is coming off a mixed start (1-1), averaging 88 points per game with strong rebounding and assists suggesting good team cohesion. Alabama St is 0-1, struggling offensively and heavily outmatched.
  • Limited recent direct matchups, but historical trends heavily favor UAB due to stronger program caliber and home court advantage.
  • No significant injury reports available for either team, both teams expected to field full lineups.
  • UAB benefits from playing at home in Bartow Arena, known for strong fan support and atmosphere that can pressure visiting teams. The game being non-conference may reduce motivational variance but UAB likely wants to assert dominance early.
  • UAB motivated to build momentum early in season, 100% public betting share indicates strong confidence from bettors. Alabama St faces long odds, likely less motivated due to underdog status.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline UAB Blazers -4500; Alabama St Hornets +1300 UAB Blazers ★★★★★ 92%
Spread UAB Blazers -17.5 -110; Alabama St Hornets +17.5 -110 UAB Blazers -17.5 ★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under Over 162.5 -112; Under 162.5 -112 Under 162.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline UAB Blazers -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 162.5 33%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 162.5 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

UAB Blazers to win outright (moneyline), cover the -17.5 spread, and game total to go under 162.5 points.

Predicted Score: UAB Blazers 85 – Alabama St Hornets 65


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New York Knicks vs. Memphis Grizzlies Prediction NBA in Basketball

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Match Analysis: New York Knicks vs Memphis Grizzlies – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-12
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Madison Square Garden

Game Overview

The New York Knicks (6-3) host the Memphis Grizzlies (4-7) at Madison Square Garden. The Knicks are riding a six-game home win streak and are favored by nearly 10 points. The Grizzlies have struggled offensively and defensively, while the Knicks boast a top-tier offense led by Jalen Brunson and Karl-Anthony Towns.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Knicks have won six straight at home, averaging 120+ points per game. Grizzlies are 4-7 with a bottom-10 offense and defense. Knicks are significantly more efficient and consistent.
  • Knicks won the last two meetings by double digits. The most recent matchup was a 114-106 Knicks victory. Knicks have covered the spread in both games.
  • No major injuries reported for either team. Both starting lineups are expected to be at full strength.
  • Game is at Madison Square Garden, a tough venue for visitors. Knicks have a strong home crowd advantage and are playing with momentum.
  • Knicks are fighting for a top seed in the East. Grizzlies are struggling to find consistency and are on a road trip.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -395 New York Knicks ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread -9.5 -112 New York Knicks -9.5 ★★★★☆ 74%
Over/under 233.5 -112 Under 233.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New York Knicks -2%
Spread New York Knicks -9.5 40%
Over/Under Under 233.5 31%

🔥 Best Value Pick: New York Knicks -9.5 at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Knicks win and cover the spread, game goes under the total.

Predicted Score: Knicks 122, Grizzlies 108


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Brooklyn Nets vs. Toronto Raptors Prediction NBA in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Brooklyn Nets vs Toronto Raptors – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 11, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Barclays Center, Brooklyn, New York

Game Overview

The Toronto Raptors (5-5) visit the Brooklyn Nets (1-9) in a matchup featuring a heavily favored visitor. Toronto enters as a 9.5-point favorite with strong fundamentals, while Brooklyn struggles through a five-game home losing streak and ranks poorly across most statistical categories.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Toronto maintains a balanced 5-5 record with solid offensive contributions (RJ Barrett, Brandon Ingram, Immanuel Quickley averaging 22 points). Brooklyn's 1-9 record reflects systemic issues: 26th in points scored (110 ppg), 29th in points allowed (125.5 ppg), and 30th in rebounds (39.1). The Nets have lost five consecutive home games with a 0-5 home record.
  • Toronto dominates the recent series, winning three of the last four matchups. Most recent: Raptors 120, Nets 109 (April 2025). Historical spread data shows Toronto consistently covering when favored against Brooklyn, with the Raptors showing winning patterns at various spread levels (-1, -2.5, -2.5).
  • No significant injuries reported for either team. Michael Porter Jr. remains available for Brooklyn despite recent struggles, scoring 25 points in their last loss. Toronto's core rotation appears intact.
  • Home court provides minimal advantage for Brooklyn given their 0-5 home record this season. The Nets' defensive inefficiency (allowing 125.5 ppg) suggests difficulty containing Toronto's multi-threat offense. Psychological momentum heavily favors Toronto after their recent wins in this series.
  • Toronto seeks to improve standing and maintain winning momentum. Brooklyn is desperate to break their home slide, but poor fundamentals and depth issues limit upside potential. The Raptors have stronger motivation given their balanced season versus Brooklyn's crisis situation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nets +350 / Raptors -455 Toronto Raptors ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Raptors -10.5 (-108) / Nets +10.5 (-112) Toronto Raptors -10.5 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 233.5 (-112) / Under 233.5 (-108) Under 233.5 ★★★★☆ 71%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Toronto Raptors 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 233.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 233.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Toronto Raptors win convincingly, covering the spread with a final score around 119-107. The Nets lack defensive capability to slow Toronto's offensive weapons, and home court provides no meaningful edge given their historical performance.

Predicted Score: Toronto Raptors 119, Brooklyn Nets 107


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Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Eastern Illinois Panthers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-12
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Purcell Pavilion, South Bend

Game Overview

The matchup features Notre Dame Fighting Irish hosting Eastern Illinois Panthers. Notre Dame enters undefeated at 2-0 with superior scoring efficiency and rebounding, while Eastern Illinois is 1-1. Notre Dame is a heavy favorite, with dominant early season stats and sharp shooting led by Markus Burton.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Notre Dame averages 95.5 points per game, shooting 50.8% from the field with strong rebounding (44.5 RPG) and assist numbers (17.0 APG), while Eastern Illinois has a modest 1-1 record and less efficient offense.
  • Limited recent direct matchups due to differing conference schedules, but Notre Dame has consistently outperformed Eastern Illinois in past contests historically.
  • Notre Dame's forward Jalen Haralson is questionable with a concussion, which could impact frontcourt depth; Eastern Illinois has no major injury concerns reported.
  • The game is played at Notre Dame's home court, providing a strong crowd advantage and familiar environment for the Fighting Irish.
  • Notre Dame aims to maintain an undefeated start and strong statement within ACC play, while Eastern Illinois seeks an upset but faces major talent and experience gaps.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Notre Dame Fighting Irish: -9000, Eastern Illinois Panthers: +2500 Notre Dame Fighting Irish ★★★★★ 95%
Spread Notre Dame Fighting Irish -24.5: -112, Eastern Illinois Panthers +24.5: -108 Notre Dame Fighting Irish -24.5 ★★★★★ 90%
Over/under Over 144.5: -112, Under 144.5: -108 Under 144.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Notre Dame Fighting Irish -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 144.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 144.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Notre Dame Fighting Irish to win straight up, cover the spread, and the total points to go under 144.5.

Predicted Score: Notre Dame Fighting Irish 83 – Eastern Illinois Panthers 56


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Butler Bulldogs vs. Chicago St Cougars Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Butler Bulldogs vs Chicago St Cougars – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-12
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Hinkle Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN

Game Overview

Butler Bulldogs host Chicago State Cougars in a non-conference matchup. Butler is undefeated and dominant, while Chicago State is winless and struggling defensively. The Bulldogs are heavy favorites with a large spread and a high total.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Butler is 2-0 with a 62-point average margin, scoring 100 PPG and allowing just 69 PPG. Chicago State is 0-2, averaging 74 PPG while surrendering 100 PPG. Butler’s offense is efficient, while Chicago State’s defense is porous.
  • No recent H2H data available, but Butler’s talent and depth far exceed Chicago State’s.
  • Butler: Oliogu-Elabor (Ankle) – Out, Ndzie (Back) – Out. Chicago State: No major injuries reported.
  • Butler is playing at home with strong momentum. Chicago State is on the road for the third consecutive game, facing a significant talent gap.
  • Butler is motivated to build momentum early in the season. Chicago State is seeking its first win but faces a steep challenge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -1000 Butler Bulldogs ★★★★★ 92%
Spread -27.5 -112 Butler Bulldogs -27.5 ★★★★☆ 84%
Over/under Over 162.5 -112 Over 162.5 ★★★★☆ 78%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 162.5 33%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 162.5 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Butler will dominate both offensively and defensively, covering the spread and pushing the total over.

Predicted Score: Butler 96, Chicago State 68


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Rhode Island Rams vs. Stonehill Skyhawks Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Rhode Island Rams vs Stonehill Skyhawks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-12
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Thomas M. Ryan Center, Kingston, RI

Game Overview

Rhode Island Rams host Stonehill Skyhawks in a matchup of teams both 1-1 this season, with Rhode Island favored significantly due to stronger defense and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rhode Island Rams have a strong defensive profile, allowing fewer points than Stonehill, which despite scoring 82 PPG is prone to defensive lapses as shown in their recent loss to DePaul. Rhode Island’s balanced team with solid home performance contrasts Stonehill’s road challenges and inconsistent shooting percentages.
  • No recent direct head-to-head matchups available; Stonehill is new to Division I level play, making Rhode Island the more experienced and established program.
  • No significant injury reports for either team ahead of this game.
  • Game at Rhode Island's home arena provides a strong home-court advantage; public betting heavily favors Rhode Island indicating market confidence.
  • Both teams are 1-1, motivated to secure a winning record early in the season, but Rhode Island’s greater historical program stability and home setting likely boost their incentive and confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -1600, away: 820 Rhode Island Rams ★★★★★ 92%
Spread home: -114, away: -106 Rhode Island Rams -13.5 ★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under over: -118, under: -106 Under 149.5 ★★★★☆ 73%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rhode Island Rams -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 149.5 36%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 149.5 at 36% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rhode Island Rams to win comfortably, covering the -13.5 spread and the total points to stay under 149.5.

Predicted Score: Rhode Island Rams 75 – Stonehill Skyhawks 58


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Florida Gators vs. Florida St Seminoles Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Florida Gators vs Florida St Seminoles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-12
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Exactech Arena at the Stephen C. O'Connell Center, Gainesville

Game Overview

Florida State Seminoles (2-0) travel to face the Florida Gators (1-1) in a heated in-state rivalry game. Florida enters as heavy favorites with home-court advantage and a dominant recent head-to-head record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Florida State is undefeated (2-0), averaging 104.5 PPG and allowing just 70 PPA. Florida is 1-1, averaging 95.5 PPG and allowing 78.5 PPA. Florida State’s defense is elite, while Florida’s is inconsistent, allowing 40.2% shooting and 78.5 PPG.
  • Florida leads the all-time series 47-28 and has won the last four matchups, including an 87-74 victory in the most recent game. Florida has won 4 of the last 7 meetings.
  • No major injuries reported for either team.
  • Florida has a strong home-court advantage and is favored by the public (52% of bets on Florida). The game is played at a high tempo, but both teams have faced weaker competition so far.
  • This is a rivalry game, and Florida is highly motivated to maintain dominance. Florida State is motivated to break the losing streak and prove themselves against a ranked opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -4500, away: 1600 Florida Gators Not available
Spread home: -19.5, away: 19.5 Florida Gators -19.5 Not available
Over/under over: 179.5, under: 179.5 Under 179.5 Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Florida Gators -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 179.5 39%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 179.5 at 39% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 44.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Florida Gators to win outright and cover the spread, with the game finishing under the total.

Predicted Score: Florida Gators 86, Florida St Seminoles 72


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Wright St Raiders vs. Toledo Rockets Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Wright St Raiders vs Toledo Rockets – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 12, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Ervin J. Nutter Center, Fairborn, Ohio

Game Overview

Wright State Raiders (1-1) host the struggling Toledo Rockets (0-2) in a non-conference matchup. Toledo arrives on a two-game losing streak, while Wright State seeks to build momentum at home after a road loss to California. This matchup features two mid-tier mid-major programs with contrasting trajectories early in the season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Toledo is 0-2 on the season with significant losses to Marshall (85-73) and another unnamed opponent. The Rockets are averaging 73.5 PPG on 43.7% shooting with 80.5 PPG allowed. Wright State stands at 1-1 after losing 77-67 on the road to California but maintaining a 1-0 home record. Wright State has shown defensive competence, limiting opponents to 114 points across two games.
  • In their last two meetings, Toledo holds the edge with an 86-77 home win and a 78-77 road victory. The teams split their last four head-to-head matchups with two wins apiece, suggesting relatively balanced competition historically. However, Toledo's current form has deteriorated significantly since those contests.
  • No significant injuries reported in available data for either team.
  • Wright State possesses a strong home court advantage, having maintained a 1-0 home record this season and benefiting from crowd support at Nutter Center. Toledo is traveling on the road without momentum. The game lacks national coverage, suggesting lower-profile competition that may attract sharper action on the spread.
  • Wright State is motivated to protect home court and build early-season momentum after a road loss. Toledo desperately needs a win to avoid falling to 0-3 and salvage early confidence. However, Toledo's motivation may be tempered by lack of execution in recent games.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Toledo +195 | Wright State -238 Wright State Moneyline ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Toledo +5.5 -112 | Wright State -5.5 -108 Wright State -5.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 157.5 -115 | Under 157.5 -105 Under 157.5 ★★★☆☆ 64%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Wright St Raiders 109%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 157.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Wright St Raiders at 109% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 56.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Wright State Raiders will defeat Toledo Rockets with a margin exceeding the spread. Wright State's home-court advantage, superior recent form, and defensive capability should overcome Toledo's historical head-to-head edge. The total will finish under 157.5 as both teams struggle offensively relative to pace.

Predicted Score: Wright State 79, Toledo 68


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