Match Analysis: Montana St Bobcats vs Denver Pioneers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 8:00 PM UTC
- Location: Bozeman, Montana
Game Overview
Montana State Bobcats host Denver Pioneers in a non-conference NCAAB matchup. Montana State enters with a 1-1 record and strong home form, while Denver is 0-2 with poor offensive output. The oddsmakers favor Montana State by 7.5 points with a total set at 149.5.
Key Factors to Consider
- Montana State has shown dominance at home, winning their last game 114-44 and covering the spread in their last two home outings. Denver has struggled offensively, averaging just 71.5 points per game and failing to cover in both losses. Their defense has also been porous, allowing 84 points per game.
- Denver narrowly won the last meeting 79-78, but Montana State has a clear edge in recent home performance and overall momentum. The previous game was a close contest, but Montana Stateβs recent form suggests a more decisive outcome this time.
- No significant injuries reported for either team.
- Montana State is playing at home with a strong crowd advantage. Denver is on the road and has not covered in their last two away games. The weather is not a factor for indoor basketball.
- Montana State is motivated to build on their home win and establish early season momentum. Denver is looking to avoid a 0-3 start and needs a win to boost morale.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Denver Pioneers: 260, Montana St Bobcats: -325 | Montana St Bobcats | Not available |
| Spread | Denver Pioneers: 7.5 -105, Montana St Bobcats: -7.5 -115 | Montana St Bobcats -7.5 | Not available |
| Over/under | Over: 149.5 -108, Under: 149.5 -112 | Over 149.5 | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Montana St Bobcats -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 149.5 35% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 149.5 at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Montana State Bobcats to win and cover the spread, with the game going over the total points line.
Predicted Score: 82-68