Match Analysis: Montana Grizzlies vs Lamar Cardinals – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-23
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: Dahlberg Arena, Missoula, Montana
Game Overview
The Montana Grizzlies (4-2) host the Lamar Cardinals (2-1) in an NCAA basketball matchup. Montana is favored by 6.5 points and is on a three-game home winning streak. The total point line is set near 150.5 to 151 points, with both teams showing decent offensive efficiency and contrasting defensive strengths.
Key Factors to Consider
- Montana averages scoring efficiently at 105.1 points per 100 possessions, with a solid home performance and strong three-point shooting (8.5 made per game at 34%). Lamar is shooting 31.5% on three-pointers and averages 79 points per game while showing good rebounding (38.3 per game) but has higher turnover rates (10.7 per game). Montana also averages more assists per game and has been more consistent defensively, conceding 87.3 points per 100 possessions.
- No recent head-to-head stats are provided, but Montana has won each of its last 10 home games against non-top-ranked opponents. Lamar has lost 36 of 44 games against non-conference teams, highlighting Montanaβs advantage historically and situationally in this matchup.
- Both teams appear healthy going into this game with no reported injuries impacting key players like Montana's Money Williams (20.5 PPG, 6.0 APG) and Tyler Thompson (5.7 RPG).
- The game is at Montanaβs Dahlberg Arena, giving home court advantage to Montana. The broadcast is on ESPN+ with favorable viewing conditions and no indications of adverse external disruptions.
- Montana aims to extend its home winning streak and build momentum early in the season. Lamar seeks to prove itself against a favored opponent on the road but is less battle-tested with only three games played this season so far.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Montana Grizzlies: -290, Lamar Cardinals: 225 | Montana Grizzlies to win | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Montana Grizzlies: -6.5 -110, Lamar Cardinals: +6.5 -110 | Montana Grizzlies to cover the -6.5 spread | β β β β β 80% |
| Over/under | Over 150.5: -112, Under 150.5: -112 | Over 150.5 points | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Montana Grizzlies -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 150.5 14% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 150.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Montana is strongly favored to win both straight up and against the spread, with an expected score around Montana 85, Lamar 74. The total points over 150.5 is favored, reflecting a moderately high-scoring game.
Predicted Score: Montana Grizzlies 85 – Lamar Cardinals 74