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Montana Grizzlies vs. Cal Poly Mustangs Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Montana Grizzlies vs Cal Poly Mustangs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Dahlberg Arena, Montana (home court)

Game Overview

Montana Grizzlies (3-1) face Cal Poly Mustangs (2-2) at home in a Missouri Valley Conference matchup. Montana is favored as a strong home team with solid offensive and defensive metrics, while Cal Poly struggles in away fixtures and against strong defenses.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Montana has a 3-1 record, averaging 87.3 PPG scoring efficiency (61st nationally), with a strong rebounding presence (26th nationally). Cal Poly holds a 2-2 record but has lost 12 consecutive Friday non-conference games.
  • Montana has historically dominated this matchup, especially at home, with Montana winning all last 19 night games at Dahlberg Arena and leading first halves in last six home games against Big West Conference opponents.
  • No key injury reports affecting starting lineups or rotations available at this time, both teams appear healthy.
  • Montana’s home court advantage is significant with strong crowd support and a consistent winning record on their home floor. Cal Poly faces fatigue from travel and historically poor Friday night away performances.
  • Montana is highly motivated to maintain home dominance and assert conference strength early, while Cal Poly aims to bounce back from recent away struggles but lacks momentum and depth.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Montana -230, Cal Poly +184 Montana Grizzlies ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Montana -4.5 -118, Cal Poly +4.5 -102 Montana Grizzlies -4.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 170.5 -114, Under 170.5 -112 Under 170.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Montana Grizzlies 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 170.5 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 170.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Montana Grizzlies to win and cover the spread with total points likely under 170.5

Predicted Score: Montana Grizzlies 84 – Cal Poly Mustangs 66


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Montana Grizzlies vs. Cal Poly Mustangs Prediction

Match Analysis: Montana Grizzlies vs Cal Poly Mustangs – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-11-15 Time: 2:00 AM UTC Location: Dahlberg Arena, Montana (home court) Game Overview Montana Grizzlies (3-1) face Cal Poly Mustangs (2-2) at home in a Missouri Valley Conference matchup. Montana is favored as a strong home team with solid offensive and defensive […]

Basketball Cal Poly Mustangs Montana Grizzlies November 15, 2025

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San Antonio Spurs vs. Golden State Warriors Prediction NBA in Basketball

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Match Analysis: San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 2:40 AM UTC
  • Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio

Game Overview

The San Antonio Spurs (8-3) host the Golden State Warriors (7-6) in a highly anticipated NBA matchup featuring two top scorers: Victor Wembanyama (26.2 PPG) and Stephen Curry (27.1 PPG). The Spurs are slight favorites on the moneyline and spread, with both teams showing strong offensive capabilities and contrasting recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Spurs hold an 8-3 record with 3-5-3 ATS this season, showing stronger home performance. Warriors are 7-6 overall, 6-7 ATS, with a strong home ATS record (4-0-1) but poor road ATS (2-6). Spurs score an average home points of ~122, Warriors average road points of ~112, reflecting home offensive advantage.
  • Historically, Warriors lead the series 36-30. Recent encounters have been competitive with the last game ending Warriors 114 – Spurs 111. Warriors cover the +10.5 spread in 11 consecutive road meetings. Both teams tend to score over 110.5 points in most head-to-head games, signaling high scoring potential.
  • No major injuries reported impacting key players on either side, both Victor Wembanyama and Stephen Curry expected to play.
  • Game played at Spurs' home venue, which favors Spurs by a slight margin. Public betting leans towards Spurs (69% bets), showing confidence in home favorites.
  • Spurs are looking to build on their strong start at home; Warriors eager to recover from recent away losses and reinforce their standing. Both teams motivated with star players in form, expecting high intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline San Antonio Spurs -135, Golden State Warriors +114 San Antonio Spurs ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread San Antonio Spurs -2.5 (-105), Golden State Warriors +2.5 (-115) San Antonio Spurs -2.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 235.5 (-110), Under 235.5 (-110) Over 235.5 ★★★☆☆ 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline San Antonio Spurs 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 235.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 235.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

San Antonio Spurs to win straight up, cover the -2.5 spread, and the game to go over 235.5 points.

Predicted Score: San Antonio Spurs 121 – Golden State Warriors 114


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Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. Miss Valley St Delta Devils Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Utah Tech Trailblazers vs Miss Valley St Delta Devils – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 14, 2025
  • Time: 2:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Bankoh Arena at Stan Sheriff Center, Honolulu, HI (Neutral Site)

Game Overview

Utah Tech Trailblazers (2-3) host Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils (1-3) in a Rainbow Classic matchup. Utah Tech is favored by 27.5 points, reflecting a significant talent and performance gap. Mississippi Valley State arrives in Honolulu riding a devastating three-game losing streak with defensive collapse (averaging 100 points allowed in last 3 games), while Utah Tech seeks consistency after splitting recent contests.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mississippi Valley State: 1-3 record with only win against inferior competition (MUW 97-61). Recent losses include 106-55 @ UAB, 108-60 @ Murray State, and 88-56 @ Hawaii on Nov 13. Averaging 67.0 PPG while allowing 90.75 PPG—significant offensive and defensive deficiencies. Utah Tech: 2-3 record with 79.80 PPG average and more balanced 79.40 PPG allowed. Won 81-79 vs SDAK but lost 67-93 @ Arizona and 79-75 vs Manhattan. Shows volatility but stronger baseline talent.
  • No direct history available between these programs.
  • No injury data available in search results.
  • Neutral venue (Honolulu) eliminates home court advantage but benefits stronger program. Early morning tipoff (2:30 AM UTC / 9:30 PM EST) may affect performance. Mississippi Valley State has lost each of its last 51 day games against non-AP-ranked opponents. Utah Tech has won first half in each of last four day games against non-AP-ranked opponents at neutral venues. Utah Tech has lost each of its last seven Friday games against non-conference opponents—notable concern for the Trailblazers.
  • Utah Tech seeking to build consistency and erase .500 start. Mississippi Valley State desperate to snap losing streak but facing prohibitively difficult opponent. The magnitude of the point spread (27.5) suggests Utah Tech is heavily favored by sportsbooks despite their own recent struggles.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline MVSU +3500 / UTU -5000 (implied) Utah Tech Trailblazers ★★★★☆ 89%
Spread MVSU +27.5 (-105) / UTU -27.5 (-115) Utah Tech -27.5 ★★★★☆ 76%
Over/under Over 146.5 (-112) / Under 146.5 (-108) Under 146.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 146.5 31%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 146.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Utah Tech Trailblazers cover the 27.5-point spread in a dominant performance. The gap in team quality, combined with Mississippi Valley State's defensive deterioration and 0-51 record in day games vs non-ranked opponents, creates an overwhelming structural advantage for Utah Tech. Despite Utah Tech's concerning 0-7 Friday record, they are significantly more talented. Expect Utah Tech to win 82-56.

Predicted Score: Utah Tech 82, Mississippi Valley State 56 (Total: 138)


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UC Davis Aggies vs. Sacramento St Hornets Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: UC Davis Aggies vs Sacramento St Hornets – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: University Credit Union Center, Davis, CA

Game Overview

This NCAA basketball matchup features the UC Davis Aggies hosting the Sacramento State Hornets. UC Davis enters as the favorite with a moderate points spread and moneyline advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • UC Davis has demonstrated stronger recent form with a 63% win probability based on simulations, while Sacramento State is the underdog with about 37% chances. UC Davis also won the last encounter 69-62.
  • Over the last six meetings, Sacramento State has won four; however, UC Davis claimed the most recent matchup relatively comfortably.
  • No significant injury updates affecting either team have been reported, indicating both sides will likely field near full-strength lineups.
  • Home court advantage at University Credit Union Center favors UC Davis. No adverse weather or travel impacts are noted.
  • As a home team favorite, UC Davis is motivated to maintain dominance, while Sacramento State aims to exploit a positive spread to boost confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline UC Davis -240 / Sacramento State +190 UC Davis Aggies ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread UC Davis -5.5 (-106) / Sacramento State +5.5 (-114) Sacramento State +5.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 149.5 (-118) / Under 149.5 (-106) Under 149.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline UC Davis Aggies -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 149.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 149.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

UC Davis Aggies to win on the moneyline, Sacramento State to cover the +5.5 spread, and the game to go under 149.5 points total.

Predicted Score: Sacramento State 71 – 75 UC Davis


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Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs Abilene Christian Wildcats – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: William R. Johnson Coliseum, Stephen F. Austin

Game Overview

The undefeated Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (3-0) host the equally undefeated Abilene Christian Wildcats (3-0) in a Southland Conference matchup featuring strong offenses and solid recent form for both squads.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Stephen F. Austin is shooting efficiently with a strong defense, ranked top-100 in field goal and three-point percentage allowed. They have recently struggled ATS (0-5) but started 3-0 overall. Abilene Christian has displayed high shooting percentages (63.2% last game) and solid rebounding but showed some inconsistency against Division I competition.
  • Recent direct matchups are limited; however, Stephen F. Austin has held the upper hand on the road historically against Southland opponents. Both teams have performed well at home, with Abilene Christian winning nine of their last ten Southland night games.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team heading into the game.
  • Game played at Stephen F. Austin's home court which is a notable advantage for them given their strong shooting stats and defense. Travel and schedule are even with both teams undefeated but Abilene Christian has faced fewer Division I opponents.
  • Stephen F. Austin aims to maintain its hot start and assert dominance at home, while Abilene Christian seeks to prove themselves further against a quality opponent and sustain their perfect record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Stephen F. Austin: -325, Abilene Christian: +260 Stephen F. Austin ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Stephen F. Austin -7.5: -108, Abilene Christian +7.5: -112 Stephen F. Austin -7.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 143.5: -110, Under 143.5: -110 Over 143.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 143.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 143.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Stephen F. Austin to win straight up on the moneyline, cover the -7.5 spread, and the game to go over the 143.5 total points line.

Predicted Score: Stephen F. Austin 78 – Abilene Christian 65


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Georgia Bulldogs vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Georgia Bulldogs vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 14, 2025
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Stegeman Coliseum, Athens, GA

Game Overview

Intrastate rivalry matchup between two undefeated 3-0 teams. Georgia hosts Georgia Tech in a game that heavily favors the Bulldogs based on performance differential. Both teams enter undefeated, but Georgia demonstrates significantly superior offensive efficiency (50.2% FG, 106.0 PPG) compared to Georgia Tech's struggles (42.0% FG, 66.7 PPG). This is a classic case of record convergence masking substantial talent gap.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Georgia: 3-0 record, 106.0 PPG, 50.2% FG, 44.7 RPG, 19.3 APG. Most recent win vs Morehead State (120-81) featured dominant performance with 56% FG, 45.9% from three, 41 rebounds, 29 assists, only 9 turnovers. Scored 94+ points in all three games. Georgia Tech: 3-0 record, 66.7 PPG (323rd in D1), 42.0% FG, 31.3% from three, 63.0% FT. Wins against inferior competition (SELA, UMES). Significant offensive limitations with low scoring output.
  • Georgia has won each of its last 20 night games against non-conference opponents at Stegeman Coliseum. Georgia Tech has lost four of its last five road games against SEC opponents. Georgia Tech has lost the first half in three of its last four games at Stegeman Coliseum. Road team won first half in only three of last four matchups between these teams.
  • No injury reports available in provided data.
  • Home court advantage heavily favors Georgia. Georgia Tech's strength of schedule ranks 328th while Georgia ranks 17th, indicating Georgia has faced superior competition. Georgia Tech's recent wins against weak non-conference opponents inflate their record. Stegeman Coliseum represents hostile environment for visiting ACC team.
  • Both teams undefeated but Georgia seeking to prove dominance in rivalry setting. Georgia Tech facing massive talent evaluation moment against superior competition. Home team typically highly motivated in rivalry games.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Georgia -1400 / Georgia Tech +800 Georgia Bulldogs ★★★★☆ 86%
Spread Georgia -13.5 -120 / Georgia Tech +13.5 -102 Georgia Bulldogs -13.5 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 149.5 -110 / Under 149.5 -110 Under 149.5 ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Georgia Bulldogs -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 149.5 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 149.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Georgia Bulldogs are vastly superior to Georgia Tech despite identical records. The 14-point spread accurately reflects the performance gap. Georgia's elite offensive efficiency (50.2% FG) versus Georgia Tech's significant weakness (66.7 PPG) creates structural mismatch. Georgia Tech's three wins came against non-conference bottom-feeders while Georgia has performed against better competition. Expect Georgia to control game wire-to-wire, likely winning by 16-18 points.

Predicted Score: Georgia 82, Georgia Tech 64


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Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Colgate Raiders Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Illinois Fighting Illini vs Colgate Raiders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: State Farm Center, Champaign, IL

Game Overview

The Illinois Fighting Illini (3-0) host the Colgate Raiders (1-2) with Illinois heavily favored to win by a large margin given their strong early season form, home advantage, and statistical superiority.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Illinois is undefeated with a strong defensive and offensive efficiency, committing fewer turnovers and fouls while maintaining higher shooting percentages and rebounds. Colgate is 1-2 with moderate shooting stats but a weaker overall team efficiency and inferior defensive numbers.
  • No recent direct matchups noted, but Illinois is nationally ranked (No. 14) and significantly stronger on paper and form.
  • No major injury concerns reported for either team, full squads expected.
  • Illinois enjoys home court advantage at State Farm Center, amplifying their performance metrics. The large spread (-28.5) reflects consensus expectations of a dominant Illinois win.
  • Illinois is motivated to maintain a perfect record and continue their home winning streak. Colgate, with fewer wins, may play to keep the game competitive but likely lacks the depth to challenge strongly.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Illinois -2000, Colgate +1000 Illinois ★★★★☆ 88%
Spread Illinois -28.5 -118, Colgate +28.5 -104 Illinois -28.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 163.5 -115, Under 163.5 -105 Under 163.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 163.5 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 163.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Illinois to win comfortably, covering the -28.5 spread and the game total to finish under 163.5 points.

Predicted Score: Illinois 97, Colgate 63


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Baylor Bears vs. Tarleton State Texans Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Baylor Bears vs Tarleton State Texans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 15, 2025
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Waco, Texas (Baylor Home)

Game Overview

Baylor Bears host Tarleton State Texans in an NCAA Men's Basketball matchup. Baylor enters as a heavy favorite with moneyline odds of -10000, reflecting their significant dominance over Tarleton State. This is a non-conference game featuring a Power 4 program against a lower-tier opponent.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Baylor is a well-established NCAA Division I program competing at the highest level. Tarleton State competes at a lower tier of college basketball. The massive moneyline odds (-10000) indicate sportsbooks view this as a near-certainty Baylor victory.
  • Baylor holds a 4-1 record against Tarleton State in their last five matchups, with recent dominance. Most recently, Baylor defeated Tarleton State 80-57 in June 2022. Baylor's home record against Tarleton is 3-1, with a current winning streak of 3 consecutive victories against the Texans.
  • No injury information available from provided data.
  • Baylor is playing at home, a significant advantage. The extreme odds suggest this is a heavily mismatched contest in terms of program resources, talent, and competitive level.
  • Baylor, as the favored home team, has motivation to establish dominance early and maintain their winning streak. Tarleton State, as a significant underdog, may play with desperation but faces an uphill battle against superior competition.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Baylor -10000 | Tarleton State +2800 Baylor Bears ML ★★★★★ 96%
Spread Baylor -24.5 (-110) | Tarleton State +24.5 (-110) Baylor Bears -24.5 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 153.5 (-106) | Under 153.5 (-114) Under 153.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Baylor Bears -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 153.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 153.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Baylor Bears to win convincingly at home. The massive spread of -24.5 and moneyline of -10000 reflect the talent gap between these programs. Expect Baylor to control the game from start to finish with a decisive victory.

Predicted Score: Baylor 78, Tarleton State 53


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North Carolina Tar Heels vs. North Carolina Central Eagles Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: North Carolina Tar Heels vs North Carolina Central Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Dean E. Smith Center, Chapel Hill, NC

Game Overview

The North Carolina Tar Heels (3-0) host the North Carolina Central Eagles (1-3) at home. UNC is a dominant favorite with a strong 3-0 start and high offensive efficiency, while NCCU struggles with a three-game road losing streak and defensive difficulties.

Key Factors to Consider

  • UNC has averaged around 90 points per game with a +22.7 scoring margin, showing superior scoring, rebounding (+35.1% offensive rebounds), and transition play. NCCU has a poor recent form, losing heavily on the road, with lower effective FG% (40.2%) and higher turnover rate (16.5%).
  • Recent matchups show UNC decisively outperforming NCCU with wide margins, projecting a large scoring gap favoring UNC.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team impacting starting lineups or rotations.
  • UNC enjoys home court advantage at the Dean E. Smith Center with supportive crowds and familiar conditions. NCCU faces pressures from extended travel and poor away form.
  • UNC aims to maintain a perfect home start and grow its early season dominance, while NCCU looks to reverse its losing streak but faces an uphill battle with a talent and form gap.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -1000 North Carolina Tar Heels ★★★★★ 97%
Spread -110 North Carolina Tar Heels -35.5 ★★★★★ 90%
Over/under -110 Under 160.5 ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 160.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 160.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

North Carolina Tar Heels to win outright on the moneyline, cover the -35.5 spread, and the game total to go Under 160.5 points.

Predicted Score: North Carolina Tar Heels 92, North Carolina Central Eagles 62


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TCU Horned Frogs vs. Michigan Wolverines Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: TCU Horned Frogs vs Michigan Wolverines – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 15, 2025
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Ed & Rae Schollmaier Arena, Fort Worth, TX

Game Overview

Michigan Wolverines (2-0) travel to face TCU Horned Frogs (2-1) in an early-season matchup. Michigan enters as a significant favorite with an 8.5-point spread and -465 moneyline odds. This game features a clash of styles, with TCU operating at a deliberate pace (163rd in Adjusted Tempo per KenPom) versus Michigan's more uptempo approach.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Michigan has started 2-0 and recently required overtime to defeat Wake Forest at home, suggesting potential vulnerabilities despite their talent advantage. TCU is 2-1 and has shown inconsistency, going 1-2 against the spread in their last five games. TCU's offensive efficiency is hampered by their deliberate pace, which could limit scoring opportunities.
  • No recent head-to-head history is available in the provided data. However, historical trends show Michigan won 73.1% of moneyline favorite games last season (19 of 26), and specifically won 90% when favored at -450 or shorter odds. TCU won only 25% of underdog situations and was 1-4 last season as +340 or greater underdogs.
  • No specific injury information is provided in the search results. Morez Johnson (Illinois transfer) leads Michigan with 17 points and 5.5 rebounds per game, while Yaxel Lendeborg (preseason All-American) averages 10.5 points and 4.5 rebounds at 47.1% shooting.
  • The game occurs at 2:00 AM UTC (9:00 PM local time Friday), which is an unusual tip-off time but manageable. TCU's home court advantage at Schollmaier Arena provides some benefit, as the Horned Frogs performed better at home last season (9-8 ATS) compared to away (3-8 ATS). Michigan had a worse home ATS record (5-10) versus road (5-5) last season.
  • Michigan, as the undefeated team, seeks to maintain their perfect record against a capable mid-major program. TCU aims to prove competitiveness and improve their early-season record. The spread has moved from -6.5 to -8.5 since opening, indicating sharp money backing Michigan.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Michigan -465 | TCU +350 Michigan Wolverines ★★★★☆ 76%
Spread Michigan -8.5 -114 | TCU +8.5 -106 TCU Horned Frogs +8.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 157.5 -110 | Under 157.5 -110 Under 157.5 ★★★☆☆ 64%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Michigan Wolverines -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 157.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 157.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Michigan Wolverines to win by 6-8 points in a controlled defensive affair. Michigan's superior talent and historic moneyline win rate as a favorite should prevail, though TCU's deliberate pace and home-court advantage will keep the game closer than the current spread suggests.

Predicted Score: Michigan 71, TCU 65


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