Match Analysis: Monmouth Hawks vs Robert Morris Colonials – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-23
- Time: 8:00 PM UTC
- Location: OceanFirst Bank Center, West Long Branch, NJ
Game Overview
Monmouth Hawks (1-3) host Robert Morris Colonials (3-2) in a non-conference NCAA matchup. Monmouth is favored at home, with the spread set at -3.5 and the total at 148.5 points. Both teams are coming off recent losses, with Monmouth struggling to find consistency and Robert Morris showing mixed results on the road.
Key Factors to Consider
- Monmouth has lost three of their last four games, including close losses to Syracuse and Seton Hall. They average 71.8 points per game and allow 72.3 points per game. Robert Morris has won three of their last five, averaging 36% shooting from the field and 22% from three-point range in their most recent outing. Monmouth has a strong home record, winning 22 of their last 24 games at OceanFirst Bank Center, while Robert Morris has lost four of their last five road games against Coastal Athletic Association opponents.
- Recent head-to-head data is limited, but Monmouth has a clear home advantage and has historically performed well against Robert Morris at home. Robert Morris has won 13 of their last 15 games against non-AP-ranked opponents, but Monmouth has lost each of their last four games against non-conference opponents.
- No significant injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- Monmouth's home court advantage is a major factor, with a strong record at OceanFirst Bank Center. Robert Morris faces a tough road environment and has struggled away from home this season.
- Monmouth is motivated to end a losing streak and improve their home record. Robert Morris is looking to bounce back from a recent loss and prove themselves against a tough opponent on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Monmouth Hawks: -185, Robert Morris Colonials: 154 | Monmouth Hawks | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Monmouth Hawks: -3.5, Robert Morris Colonials: 3.5 | Monmouth Hawks -3.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 148.5, Under: 148.5 | Under 148.5 | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Monmouth Hawks 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 148.5 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 148.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Monmouth is favored to win and cover the spread, with a predicted score in the low 70s for both teams. The game is expected to be close, but Monmouth's home advantage and recent performance against Robert Morris give them the edge.
Predicted Score: Monmouth Hawks 72, Robert Morris Colonials 68