Match Analysis: Missouri Tigers vs SE Missouri St Redhawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Mizzou Arena, Columbia, Missouri
Game Overview
Missouri Tigers enter this matchup with a 1-0 record, showing strong form and overwhelming odds favoring them heavily over the SE Missouri State Redhawks, who are 0-1. The Tigers dominated their last game by a 21-point margin and have a clear talent and motivation advantage playing at home.
Key Factors to Consider
- Missouri started the season strong with an 88-67 win, displaying solid defense and scoring. SE Missouri State lost 67-92 in their opener, struggling defensively and offensively.
- Missouri won the last and only recent meeting 96-89, indicating capacity to win decisively but also that SE Missouri State can score in the high 80s.
- No reported injuries for either team, so full squads are expected.
- Home-court advantage strongly favors Missouri, with the game at Mizzou Arena and significant public betting heavily on Missouri (97%).
- Missouri aims to maintain momentum early in the season and assert dominance in a non-conference matchup, while SE Missouri State looks to avoid a heavy loss and cover the spread.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Missouri Tigers: -10000, SE Missouri State Redhawks: +3000 | Missouri Tigers | β β β β β 90% |
| Spread | Missouri Tigers -25.5: -110, SE Missouri State +25.5: -110 | SE Missouri State +25.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 156.5: -110, Under 156.5: -110 | Under 156.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Missouri Tigers -7% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 156.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 156.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Missouri Tigers moneyline win; SE Missouri State to cover the +25.5 spread; game total to go under 156.5 points.
Predicted Score: Missouri Tigers 80 – SE Missouri State 60