Match Analysis: Missouri Tigers vs SE Missouri St Redhawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Mizzou Arena, Columbia, MO
Game Overview
Missouri Tigers, an SEC powerhouse, host the Southeast Missouri State Redhawks, an Ohio Valley Conference team, in a non-conference matchup. Missouri enters the game as heavy favorites, coming off a strong win against Howard, while SEMO is looking to avoid a heavy defeat after a loss to Saint Louis. The game is expected to be a showcase of Missouri's depth and talent against SEMO's scrappy underdog effort.
Key Factors to Consider
- Missouri is 1-0 this season, winning 88-67 over Howard, with balanced scoring led by Shawn Phillips (16 points, 11 rebounds), Jayden Stone (13 points), and Jacob Crews (10 points). SEMO is 0-1, losing 92-67 to Saint Louis, struggling offensively and defensively. Missouri's SEC experience and roster depth give them a clear edge, while SEMO's shooting (25% from three, 69.2% from the line) is a concern.
- Missouri won the last meeting 96-89. The Tigers have a clear advantage in recent history, and their roster is significantly stronger. SEMO has not beaten Missouri in recent matchups.
- No significant injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- Missouri is at home, giving them a strong crowd advantage. The game is part of a busy college basketball weekend, but no major external disruptions are reported. The NCAA betting investigation is ongoing but does not appear to impact either team directly.
- Missouri is motivated to start the season strong and build momentum for a tough SEC schedule. SEMO is looking to compete and avoid a blowout, which could boost their confidence for the rest of the season.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Missouri Tigers: -10000, SE Missouri St Redhawks: 3000 | Missouri Tigers | β β β β β 95% |
| Spread | Missouri Tigers: -25.5 -110, SE Missouri St Redhawks: 25.5 -110 | SE Missouri St Redhawks +25.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 156.5 -110, Under: 156.5 -110 | Over 156.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Missouri Tigers -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 156.5 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 156.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Missouri is expected to win comfortably, but SEMO may cover the spread if they keep the game competitive. The total is likely to go over, given Missouri's scoring ability and SEMO's defensive struggles.
Predicted Score: Missouri Tigers 88 – 74 SE Missouri St Redhawks