Match Analysis: Missouri Tigers vs Minnesota Golden Gophers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-13
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Mizzou Arena, Columbia, MO
Game Overview
Missouri Tigers host Minnesota Golden Gophers in a non-conference NCAAB matchup. Missouri enters as a strong favorite, with both teams coming off dominant wins in their previous outings. The game features a high total line, suggesting a fast-paced contest, but defensive trends and injury concerns could influence the outcome.
Key Factors to Consider
- Missouri is 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS, averaging high scoring outputs in their recent games. Minnesota is 2-0 SU and 2-0 ATS, showing strong offensive efficiency and rebounding dominance in their first two games. Missouri's home record is solid, while Minnesota has shown resilience on the road.
- Missouri leads the recent series, winning the last matchup 70-68 in Minneapolis. Minnesota holds a 2-1 edge in the all-time series. The rivalry is intensified by the Gates brothers coaching connection.
- Missouri is missing Jayden Stone (out for season, upper body), and Pierce and G Annor Boateng are questionable (lower body). Minnesota has no reported injuries.
- The game is played at Mizzou Arena, giving Missouri a home-court advantage. The matchup is expected to be high tempo, but defensive matchups and rebounding could be decisive.
- Missouri is motivated to maintain their undefeated record and showcase their strength at home. Minnesota aims to prove themselves against a ranked opponent and continue their strong start to the season.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Missouri Tigers: -400, Minnesota Golden Gophers: 310 | Missouri Tigers | Not available |
| Spread | Missouri Tigers: -7.5, Minnesota Golden Gophers: 7.5 | Missouri Tigers -7.5 | Not available |
| Over/under | Over: 156.5, Under: 156.5 | Under 156.5 | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Missouri Tigers -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 156.5 2% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 156.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Missouri is favored to win, but Minnesota's recent form and rebounding strength make them a tough opponent. The game is expected to be close, with Missouri likely to cover the spread. The total line is high, but both teams' defensive trends suggest the game could stay under.
Predicted Score: Missouri 78, Minnesota 75