Match Analysis: Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Alcorn St Braves – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Williams Arena, Minneapolis, MN
Game Overview
Minnesota Golden Gophers (1-0) host Alcorn State Braves (0-2) in a college basketball NCAAB matchup. Minnesota is a heavy favorite with a large spread and expected to dominate at home.
Key Factors to Consider
- Minnesota started the season strong with an 87-60 home win and has a solid defense ranked 99th nationally last season. Alcorn State is winless with two losses, showing struggles offensively and defensively, especially conceding high points.
- No recent direct H2H data available, but Minnesota has clearly superior form and talent compared to winless Alcorn State.
- No significant injuries reported for either team prior to the game, key players expected to play.
- Minnesota has home court advantage at Williams Arena with strong crowd support. No travel fatigue impact on Minnesota; Alcorn State on the road showing signs of difficulty in last away games.
- Minnesota looks to maintain early season momentum and improve record; Alcorn State aims to avoid a 0-3 start but faces a tough challenge against a more disciplined and talented team.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Minnesota -2000, Alcorn State +1200 | Minnesota | β β β β β 95% |
| Spread | Minnesota -29.5 -110, Alcorn State +29.5 -110 | Minnesota -29.5 | β β β β β 90% |
| Over/under | Over 159.5 -110, Under 159.5 -110 | Under 159.5 | β β β β β 85% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 159.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 159.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Minnesota Golden Gophers to win moneyline and cover the spread, and the total score to go under 159.5 points
Predicted Score: Minnesota 85 – Alcorn State 70