Match Analysis: Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Alcorn St Braves – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Williams Arena, Minneapolis, Minnesota
Game Overview
The Minnesota Golden Gophers (1-0) host the Alcorn State Braves (0-2) in a non-conference NCAA basketball matchup. Minnesota enters as a heavy favorite, having won their opener decisively, while Alcorn State seeks their first win after two losses. The game is expected to feature a dominant performance by Minnesota given their home advantage and stronger recent form.
Key Factors to Consider
- Minnesota opened their season with an 87-60 home win over Gardner-Webb, showcasing strong offense and defense. Alcorn State lost their last two games, including a 76-70 loss to South Alabama, where they struggled defensively allowing 52.8% shooting. Minnesota has a +27 point differential in their single game, while Alcorn State is -38 over two games.
- There is no recent direct head-to-head data available between Minnesota and Alcorn State, but Minnesota's strong recent performances in a more competitive conference position them as clear favorites.
- No specific injury reports are available for either team before the game, indicating likely full rosters for both sides.
- The game takes place at Minnesota's home court, Williams Arena, providing them a significant home court advantage. The crowd and familiar environment may boost Minnesota's performance.
- Minnesota is motivated to start the season strong at home and justify their heavy favoritism. Alcorn State aims to stop their two-game losing streak and prove competitiveness despite the odds.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Minnesota: -10000, Alcorn State: +3300 | Minnesota win | β β β β β 95% |
| Spread | Minnesota: -29.5 -110, Alcorn State: +29.5 -110 | Minnesota -29.5 | β β β β β 90% |
| Over/under | Over: 159.5 -110, Under: 159.5 -110 | Under 159.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 159.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 159.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Minnesota Golden Gophers are predicted to win comfortably by covering the large spread. The total points scored are likely to stay under the 159.5 line due to Minnesota's controlled pace and Alcorn State's defensive limitations but offensive struggles. Expect Minnesota to dominate possession and shooting efficiency.
Predicted Score: Minnesota Golden Gophers 89 – 58 Alcorn State Braves