Match Analysis: Milwaukee Panthers vs Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-11
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena, Milwaukee, WI
Game Overview
The Milwaukee Panthers host the Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans in an early season matchup. Both teams started 1-0, with Milwaukee playing one more game (1-1). Milwaukee holds home court advantage with motivated play and slight edge in recent form, while Little Rock showed high offensive efficiency in their opening win.
Key Factors to Consider
- Milwaukee has a 1-1 record with balanced performances although struggling ATS recently (0-2 last 5 ATS). Little Rock won their opener decisively with strong shooting (53.6% FG, 47% 3PT) and aggressive rebounding (40 rebounds). Milwaukee tends to favor solid defense, but the Trojans' offensive efficiency is notable.
- Limited recent high-stakes H2H data; last meetings more than a decade ago favored Milwaukee at home. Teams matched up rarely, creating some uncertainty.
- Milwaukee is missing Sekou Konneh for the season (redshirt), which might slightly weaken their frontcourt depth. No known injuries reported for Little Rock.
- Milwaukee benefits from home court and crowd support, with full public betting backing them (100%). Little Rock is the underdog with positive momentum from an impressive first game.
- Both teams motivated to build early-season momentum. Milwaukee likely motivated to defend home court against a confident but less tested Little Rock squad.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Milwaukee -175, Arkansas-Little Rock +145 | Milwaukee Panthers | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Milwaukee -3.5 -115, Arkansas-Little Rock +3.5 -105 | Milwaukee Panthers -3.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 158.5 -112, Under 158.5 -108 | Under 158.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Milwaukee Panthers 2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 158.5 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 158.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Milwaukee Panthers to win outright (Moneyline), cover the spread (-3.5), and the game to go under the total points line of 158.5.
Predicted Score: Milwaukee Panthers 79 – Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans 74