Match Analysis: Milwaukee Bucks vs Charlotte Hornets – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: Friday, November 14, 2025
- Time: 1:10 AM UTC
- Location: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Game Overview
The Milwaukee Bucks (7-5) host the Charlotte Hornets (4-7) in an Eastern Conference matchup. The Bucks are dominant home favorites, while the Hornets arrive after losing three consecutive road games. This presents a classic matchup between a strong home team and a struggling away team.
Key Factors to Consider
- Milwaukee is averaging 118.0 PPG on 50.2% shooting while allowing 117.5 PPG. Giannis Antetokounmpo is performing at an elite level (33.4 PPG, 12.9 RPG). The Bucks have covered the spread in 66.7% of home games (4-6) but only 33.3% on the road (2-6). Charlotte has lost 14 of their last 18 games and is 1-4 on the road this season. The Hornets have covered the spread only 40% of the time away from home (2-5 ATS).
- In the past 10 head-to-head meetings, the Bucks have won seven. Historically, the Bucks have won 10 of their last 11 home games against Hornets teams with losing records. The Hornets have lost each of their last nine road games against Eastern Conference opponents with winning records.
- No significant injury information is available from the search results to materially impact this matchup.
- The Hornets are on the first leg of a back-to-back situation. The Bucks have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games against opponents on the first leg of a back-to-back. This is a divisional matchup (Central Division), where the Hornets have covered the spread in eight of their last nine gamesβthough this trend conflicts with their overall away performance.
- Milwaukee seeks to bounce back after losing as favorites; however, they maintain strong home court advantage. Charlotte is desperate to end a prolonged losing streak but faces a near-impossible road matchup against a top-tier opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Hornets +330 | Bucks -420 | Milwaukee Bucks | β β β β β 81% |
| Spread | Hornets +10 -110 | Bucks -10 -110 | Milwaukee Bucks -10 | β β β β β 74% |
| Over/under | Over 238.5 -114 | Under 238.5 -106 | Under 238.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Milwaukee Bucks 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 238.5 13% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 238.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Milwaukee Bucks are the clear favorites and should dominate at home. The Bucks' elite offensive efficiency, Giannis's scoring prowess, and strong home court record create a highly favorable environment. Charlotte's poor road record (1-4) and extended losing streak (14 of 18) make them vulnerable. The Bucks should win decisively and cover the spread comfortably.
Predicted Score: Milwaukee Bucks 122, Charlotte Hornets 114