Match Analysis: Michigan Wolverines vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-11
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Game Overview
The Michigan Wolverines (1-0) host the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (2-0) in an early-season NCAA basketball matchup. Michigan is favored heavily with a strong home court advantage and a dominant win in their opener, while Wake Forest enters undefeated but with less margin dominance. The game features contrasting styles with Michiganβs high-scoring offense expected to test Wake Forestβs defense.
Key Factors to Consider
- Michigan dominated their season opener 121-78 with an 83.3% FG rate from key player M. Johnson Jr., while Wake Forest won their previous game 81-65 and stay undefeated 2-0. Michigan has a slightly lower record but has demonstrated elite scoring and defensive efficiency.
- In the most recent meeting, Wake Forest edged Michigan narrowly 72-70. However, Michiganβs current form and home advantage make them the favorite in this matchup.
- Michiganβs Lendeborg (hand) is expected to be close to 100% health, improved from their opener. No major injuries reported that affect rotation depth for either side.
- Game played at a neutral site in Detroit favors Michigan slightly due to proximity and crowd support.
- Michigan, ranked No. 6 with high NIL valuations, motivated to establish early season dominance at home. Wake Forest aims to continue their undefeated streak and prove resilience against a top opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Michigan -2000, Wake Forest +980 | Michigan | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Michigan -15.5 (-106), Wake Forest +15.5 (-114) | Michigan -15.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over 164.5 (-115), Under 164.5 (-105) | Under 164.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Michigan Wolverines -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 164.5 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 164.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Michigan to win convincingly by covering the spread, with a total moderate scoring under the line given early-season defense.
Predicted Score: Michigan eighty-four – Wake Forest sixty-seven