Match Analysis: Michigan Wolverines vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-19
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Crisler Center, Ann Arbor, MI
Game Overview
The No. 7 Michigan Wolverines (3-0) host the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (3-0) in a non-conference matchup. Michigan enters as a heavy favorite, with the spread set at -27.5 points. Both teams are undefeated, but Michigan's strength, depth, and home-court advantage make them the clear favorite. The total is set at 157.5 points, with the over favored by oddsmakers.
Key Factors to Consider
- Michigan has been dominant defensively, allowing just 75 points per game and holding opponents to 43% shooting. They are efficient offensively, shooting 43% from the field and 31% from three. Middle Tennessee has been solid offensively, averaging 95.3 points per game, but their defense has allowed 59.7 points per game. The Blue Raiders have struggled against high-level competition, with their wins coming against weaker opponents.
- There is no recent head-to-head history between these two teams. Michigan has a strong record against non-AP-ranked opponents at home, winning eight of their last nine night games. Middle Tennessee has lost four of their last five night games following a road win.
- No significant injuries reported for either team. Both squads are at full strength for this matchup.
- Michigan is playing at home, where they have a strong record and a significant crowd advantage. Middle Tennessee is playing on the road, which has historically been a challenge for them, especially after a road win.
- Michigan is looking to extend their winning streak and maintain their top-10 ranking. Middle Tennessee is aiming to prove themselves against a top-tier opponent and potentially pull off an upset.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Michigan Wolverines: -30000, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: 4000 | Michigan Wolverines | β β β β β 99% |
| Spread | Michigan Wolverines: -27.5, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: 27.5 | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +27.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 157.5, Under: 157.5 | Over 157.5 | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Michigan Wolverines -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 157.5 -3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 157.5 at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Michigan is expected to win this game comfortably, but Middle Tennessee may cover the spread due to their offensive capabilities. The total is likely to go over, as both teams have shown a tendency to score points in their recent games.
Predicted Score: Michigan 87, Middle Tennessee 71