Match Analysis: Michigan St Spartans vs Detroit Mercy Titans – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-21
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Jack Breslin Student Events Center, East Lansing, Michigan
Game Overview
The Michigan State Spartans (4-0) host the Detroit Mercy Titans (1-4) in a heavily one-sided NCAAB matchup. Michigan State is undefeated and coming off a strong road win against Kentucky, while Detroit Mercy has struggled, losing four of their five games this season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Michigan State is dominant, boasting superior field goal percentage (45.3% vs. 40.9%) and a powerful offense that scored 83 points in their last victory. Detroit Mercy has a weak defensive record, allowing an average of 81.8 points in recent games and struggles in assists and turnovers.
- Michigan State holds a clear advantage historically and currently, reflected in their undefeated record and ability to defeat strong teams like Kentucky, while Detroit Mercy looks for its first road win.
- No significant injuries reported that would affect the starters or rotations for either team in this matchup.
- The game is played at Michigan State's home venue, providing them with home court advantage and strong fan support. Travel and road struggles exist for Detroit Mercy as evidenced by recent results.
- Michigan State aims to preserve their undefeated record and build momentum in the Big Ten, while Detroit Mercy is motivated to break a losing streak and achieve a major upset on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | detroit_mercy_titans: 3300, michigan_st_spartans: -10000 | Michigan State win | β β β β β 98% |
| Spread | detroit_mercy_titans: -105, michigan_st_spartans: -115, spread_value: 30.5 | Michigan State -30.5 cover | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | over: -105, under: -115, total_points: 148.5 | Over 148.5 points | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Michigan St Spartans 3266% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 148.5 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Michigan St Spartans at 3266% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 99% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Michigan State is heavily favored to win, likely covering the large -30.5 point spread. The game is expected to feature a high-scoring Michigan State offense dominating a Detroit Mercy defense struggling to contain opponents.
Predicted Score: Michigan State Spartans 89, Detroit Mercy Titans 58